Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NOKAEN-26 Off-shore from 14 Jan 2026 12:00 UTC to 15 Jan 2026 18:00 UTC

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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NOKAEN-26

Off-shore

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone NOKAEN-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001249
Name	NOKAEN-26
From - To	14 Jan - 15 Jan
Exposed countries	Off-shore
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (16 Jan 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

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	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	65 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	115 km/h	0.7 m	778 mm	0.5
GFS	90 km/h	0.7 m	594 mm	0.5
ECMWF	68 km/h	1 m	338 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

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Philippines - Tropical storm ONE (ECHO 15 Jan 2026)Thu, 15 Jan 2026 10:02

On 14 January, a tropical depression named ONE (ADA for the Philippine authorities) was formed over the southern Philippines Sea and moved north-westwards. On 15 January at 3:00 UTC, its centre was located 420 km east of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte province (northern Mindanao, southern Philippines) with estimated winds of 55 km/h with gusts up to 70 km/h.
ONE is forecast to strengthen as a tropical storm over the next few hours and move northwest, passing close to the eastern coast of Samar island and south-eastern Luzon with winds up to 83 km/h.
According to national authorities, due to its influence, 31 seaports have been affected, and some classes have been suspended in the Eastern Visayas region.
On 15-18 January, heavy rain and strong winds are expected over south-eastern and eastern Philippines, including Samar island, Leyte island and parts of north-eastern Mindanao.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (1), (1),

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