Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LIONROCK-16 Off-shore from 18 Aug 2016 00:00 UTC to 26 Aug 2016 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LIONROCK-16

Off-shore

26 Aug 2016 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LIONROCK-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (19 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 15.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	102	Few people	No people
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	102	Few people	No people
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	120	Few people	No people
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	102	170 thousand	No people	Japan
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	102	20 thousand	No people	Japan
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	102	200 thousand	No people	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	102	10 thousand	No people
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	111	10 thousand	No people
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	111	20 thousand	No people
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	111	20 thousand	No people
11	20 Aug 2016 12:00	102	10 thousand	No people
13	21 Aug 2016 00:00	93	90 thousand	No people	Japan
14	21 Aug 2016 06:00	111	1.4 million	No people	Japan
15	21 Aug 2016 12:00	111	1.4 million	No people	Japan
16	21 Aug 2016 18:00	120	1.3 million	No people	Japan
17	22 Aug 2016 00:00	120	1.3 million	No people	Japan
18	22 Aug 2016 06:00	120	10 thousand	No people
19	22 Aug 2016 12:00	120	10 thousand	No people
20	22 Aug 2016 18:00	120	10 thousand	No people
21	23 Aug 2016 00:00	139	10 thousand	No people
22	23 Aug 2016 06:00	139	10 thousand	No people
23	23 Aug 2016 12:00	139	10 thousand	No people
24	23 Aug 2016 18:00	148	10 thousand	No people
25	24 Aug 2016 00:00	176	10 thousand	No people
26	24 Aug 2016 06:00	222	10 thousand	No people
27	24 Aug 2016 12:00	213	10 thousand	No people
28	24 Aug 2016 18:00	204	10 thousand	Few people
29	25 Aug 2016 00:00	194	10 thousand	Few people
30	25 Aug 2016 06:00	204	540 thousand	Few people	Japan
31	25 Aug 2016 12:00	204	11.8 million	2.4 million	Japan
32	25 Aug 2016 18:00	194	49.7 million	36.6 million	Japan
33	26 Aug 2016 00:00	204	51.9 million	35.5 million	Japan
34	26 Aug 2016 06:00	204	49 million	17.4 million	Japan
35	26 Aug 2016 12:00	185	52.8 million	15.7 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29, 151.9
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30, 149.9
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30.8, 148.6
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.3, 146.8
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.8, 144.9
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	100000 people	33.1, 142.7	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11000 people	32.7, 141.2
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	8800 people	32.4, 139.8
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	32, 138.4
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.4, 137
11	20 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	30.9, 136.3
13	21 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30, 134.3
14	21 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29.5, 133.4
15	21 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	29, 132.6
16	21 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.6, 132.9
17	22 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.5, 133.1
18	22 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.8, 133.6
19	22 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.4, 133.9
20	22 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	28.3, 134.5
21	23 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	27.9, 134.4
22	23 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	27.4, 134.2
23	23 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.8, 134
24	23 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	26, 133.3
25	24 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	25.3, 132.7
26	24 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	24.8, 132.4
27	24 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	24.4, 131.8
28	24 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.9, 131.4
29	25 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.4, 131.1
30	25 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.5, 130.9
31	25 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.7, 131.1
32	25 Aug 2016 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.2, 130.5
33	26 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.1, 130.9
34	26 Aug 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.1, 131.3
35	26 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	23.3, 132.2
35	27 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	23.8, 133.4
35	27 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	24.8, 134.8
35	28 Aug 2016 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	26.1, 136.6
35	28 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 2	176	<1000 people	8300 people	28, 138.7
35	29 Aug 2016 12:00	Category 1	120	15.7 million people	52.3 million people	32.1, 141.6	Japan
35	30 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	50.1 million people	37, 139.9	Japan
35	31 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	41.9, 134.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kanto	Japan
Tohoku	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Kisarazu	Chiba	Japan	City	120000 people
Ohara	Chiba	Japan	City	20000 people
Tokyo	Tokyo	Japan	Capital	8.1 million people
Mobara	Chiba	Japan	City	96000 people
Chiba	Chiba	Japan	Major city	920000 people
Ichikawa	Chiba	Japan	City	460000 people
Funabashi	Chiba	Japan	City	560000 people
Matsudo	Chiba	Japan	City	460000 people
Katakai	Chiba	Japan	City	-
Mito	Ibaraki	Japan	Major city	240000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Kisarazu		3	Mil.	Paved	Yes	6000
Shimoshizu		30				0
Shimofusa		30	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7300
Chiba-ken		19				0
Tokyo Narita International	NRT	42	Civ.	Paved	Yes	13100
Ryugasaki South		2				0
Ryugasaki		2				0
		26				0
Hyakuri		32	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8800
Suzumenomiya		82				0
Utsunomiya	QUT	102	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5500
Otawara		201				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tori Island		Japan
Katsuura Ko		Japan
Kisarazu	JPKZU	Japan
Ogasawara	JPOGA	Japan
Goi	JPGOI	Japan
Chiba	JPCHB	Japan
Anegasaki	JPANE	Japan
Katunan Ko		Japan
Choshi	JPCHO	Japan
Kashima	JPKSM	Japan
Hitachi	JPHTC	Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Kori	Kori	Korigawa	1972
Kameyamako	Kameyama	Obitsugawa	1980
Takatakiko	Takataki	Yorogawa	1990
Yamakura	Yamakura	Yamakuragawa	1964
Miyukiko	Gongendochosetsuchi	Nakagawa	1991
Yanakako	Wataraseyusuichi	Watarasegawa	1989
Kasumigaura	Kasumigaura-Kaihatsu	Tonegawa	1995
Chuzenjiko	Chuzenji	Daiyagawa	1998
Jajanboike	Kozogawa	Kozogawa	1985
Kawamatako	Kawamata	Kinugawa	1966
Imaichichoseichi	Imaichi	Togawa	1988
Kurobe	Kurobe	Kinugawa	1912
Kuriyamachoseichi	Kuriyama	Nebesawagawa	1988
Higashikoyako	Nishiarakawa	Nishiarakawa	1967
Yashioko	Kawaji	Kunugawa	1983
Ikariko	Ikari	Ojikagawa	1956
Terayama	Terayama	Miyakawa	1984
Shiobara	Shiobara	Hokigawa	1978
Sabigawa	Sabigawa	Sabigawa	1994
Miyamako	Miyama	Nakagawa	1973
Ouchi	Ouchi	Onogawa	1991
Hatoriko	Hatori	Tsurunumagawa	1955
Wakasatoko	Okawa	Agagawa	1987
Fujinumachosuichi	Fujimuna	Ebanagawa	1948
Yunoiriko	Higashiyama	Yugawa	1982
Yoshigadaira	Yoshigadaira	Harakawa	1970

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Aogashima, Japan. This height is estimated for 19 Aug 2016 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (27 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 24 Aug 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Aogashima	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Yasundogo	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Kami-Shigeoka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Ide	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Tomioka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Oragahama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Futaba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hokota	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Katsuori	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Taiyo	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Otake	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Dainigorisawa	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Muyokama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Omi	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyochikama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hamatsuga	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Aotsuka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyuchu	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kashima	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Koya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Asahi Yokaichiba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Okunoya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Yatabe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Buzen	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Higashiyoshitomi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Nakatsu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Imazu	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.