Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRK-18 in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados from 22 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRK-18

in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (27 Sep 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (St. Vincent & the Grenadines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	93	560 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	93	610 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7	24 Sep 2018 03:00	65	610 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
8	24 Sep 2018 09:00	74	580 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
9	24 Sep 2018 15:00	65	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.3, -23.6
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.6, -24.8
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9, -26.4
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, -28
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -30.2
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.5, -32.3
7	24 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.4, -35.5
8	24 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.5, -37.4
9	24 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	10, -39.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Bridgetown, Barbados. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2018 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (75 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 24 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Bridgetown	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Calliaqua	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Saint Lawrence Gap	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Oistins	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Gibbons	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Kingstown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Sam Lord's Castle	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Holetown	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Georgetown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 06:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 06:00	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Speightstown	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Mullins Bay	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Collins	Barbados	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Bathsheba	Barbados	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 23:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Hyacinthe	Martinique	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 07:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Belle Garden	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Speyside	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Argyle	Grenada	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 23:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Scarborough	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Vieux Fort	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Soufriere	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 09:00	Caimancito	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 09:00	Guamache	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 22:00	Mount Pleasant	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 00:00	Castara	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 01:00	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 23:00	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 05:00	Castries	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Cap Estate	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Bosquet d'Or	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Sainte-Anne	Martinique	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Fancy	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Fonds Panier	Martinique	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Anbre	St. Lucia	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Le Vauclin	Martinique	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Prickley Bay	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Victoria	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Thebaide	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Grenville	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Chateaubelair	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	Saint George's	Grenada	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 07:00	The Lance	Grenada	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 04:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 06:00	Guaca	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Carupano	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	San Juan	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 03:00	Macuro	Venezuela	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 04:00	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.