Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SARAI-19
in Fiji, Tonga, Niue

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SARAI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Dec 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 26 Dec 2019 06:00 120 1 million 90 thousand Fiji
Green 2 26 Dec 2019 12:00 120 1 million 10 thousand Fiji
Green 3 26 Dec 2019 18:00 120 1 million 2 thousand Fiji
Green 4 27 Dec 2019 00:00 120 1 million 6 thousand Fiji
Green 5 27 Dec 2019 06:00 120 950 thousand Few people Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Green 6 27 Dec 2019 12:00 120 950 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Green 7 27 Dec 2019 18:00 120 920 thousand No people Fiji, Tonga

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 26 Dec 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 6900 people -13.2, 176.2
GREEN
2 26 Dec 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 370000 people -14.4, 175.8 Fiji
GREEN
3 26 Dec 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 790000 people -15.7, 175.5 Fiji
GREEN
4 27 Dec 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 740000 people -16.6, 175.4 Fiji
GREEN
5 27 Dec 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 750000 people -18, 175.5 Fiji
GREEN
6 27 Dec 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 750000 people -18.7, 176.1 Fiji
GREEN
7 27 Dec 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 760000 people -19.2, 176.8 Fiji
GREEN
7 28 Dec 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 750000 people -19.8, 177.7 Fiji
GREEN
7 28 Dec 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 760000 people -20, 178.4 Fiji
GREEN
7 29 Dec 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 760000 people -19.9, 179.2 Fiji
GREEN
7 29 Dec 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 450000 people -19.9, -179.9 Fiji
GREEN
7 30 Dec 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 110000 people -19.7, -178.1 Tonga
GREEN
7 31 Dec 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 110000 people -19.3, -175.8 Tonga
GREEN
7 01 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.8, -173.7 Tonga
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tavua, Fiji. This height is estimated for 27 Dec 2019 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (90 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 27 Dec 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Dec 2019 05:00 Tavua Fiji  0.3
27 Dec 2019 10:00 Namaka Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 17:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 09:00 Momi Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 09:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 05:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Solevu Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 00:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 22:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Cautata Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 20:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Andako Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 06:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 01:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 00:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 03:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 03:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
27 Dec 2019 09:00 Togowere Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 03:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
29 Dec 2019 02:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 02:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.1
30 Dec 2019 18:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Navotua Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
30 Dec 2019 15:00 Monothaki Fiji  0.1
30 Dec 2019 15:00 Ongea Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Korosi Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Nacula Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 09:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Nadi Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Mburelevu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Mokoisa Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Kaduvu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Gasele Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Tamavua Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Laucala Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Lokia Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 12:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Keteira Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Naweni Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 02:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Nalotu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Vunisea Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Namara Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Kavala Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Nukuvou Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Vabea Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
30 Dec 2019 14:00 Namuka Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Vandravandra Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Korovou Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Viani Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Sisili Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 08:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 05:00 Talaulia Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Lalati Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Navua Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 06:00 Naikorokoro Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Mau Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Suva Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 07:00 Nausori Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Sawaieke Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Vione Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 10:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
26 Dec 2019 09:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Dalice Fiji  0.1
27 Dec 2019 07:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
29 Dec 2019 08:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.1