Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAKE-20
in Australia
05 Jan 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BLAKE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (07 Jan 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 46000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Jan 2020 18:00 83 50 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2900 people -16, 121.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Jan 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 14000 people -16.8, 121.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 15000 people -17.8, 121.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Jan 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 30000 people -18.9, 121 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 32000 people -20, 120.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.7, 119.4 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Broome Western Australia Australia City 13000 people
          Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -
          Port Hedland Western Australia Australia City 14000 people
          Wedgefield Western Australia Australia City -
          South Hedland Western Australia Australia City -
          Wittenoom Gorge Western Australia Australia City -
          Tom Price Western Australia Australia City -
          Newman Western Australia Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Broome BME 17 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Wallal WLA unknown 0
          Mandora MQA unknown 0
          Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0
          Pardoo PRD unknown 0
          Shay Gap SGP unknown 0
          Muccan MUQ unknown 0
          Warrawagine WRW unknown 0
          Port Hedland PHE 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
          Marble Bar MBB unknown 0
          Woodie Woodie WWI unknown 0
          Nifty NIF 295 0
          Shaw River SWB unknown 0
          Nullagine NLL unknown 0
          Coolawanyah COY unknown 0
          Roy Hill RHL unknown 0
          Wittenoom Gorge WIT unknown 0
          Tom Price TPR unknown 0
          Newman ZNE 525 Civ. Paved Yes 6700
          Paraburdoo PBO 429 Civ. Paved Yes 6900

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Beagle Bay Coral Sea Islands
          Cape Leveque Coral Sea Islands
          Broome AUBME Coral Sea Islands
          Lagrange Coral Sea Islands
          Port Hedland AUPHE Coral Sea Islands
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 07 Jan 2020 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 05 Jan 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          07 Jan 2020 20:00 Derby Australia  1.0
          06 Jan 2020 11:00 Pender Australia  0.7
          07 Jan 2020 20:00 Thangoo Australia  0.6
          07 Jan 2020 20:00 Broome Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 01:00 Kollan I Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Parap Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Darwin Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Bagot Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
          07 Jan 2020 00:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.5
          07 Jan 2020 00:00 Waterbank Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Leanyer Australia  0.4
          08 Jan 2020 06:00 Condon Australia  0.2