Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARCO-20
in United States, Mexico, Cuba, Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARCO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico, Cuba, Honduras, Nicaragua
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (21 Aug 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
21 Aug 2020 06:00 - 21 Aug 2020 18:00

in Honduras

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 120 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 20 Aug 2020 15:00 111 2.3 million No people Honduras, Mexico
Green 2 20 Aug 2020 21:00 102 2.6 million No people Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 20 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.1, -79.7
GREEN
2 20 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 28000 people 14.3, -81
GREEN
2 21 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 180000 people 14.7, -83
GREEN
2 21 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 100000 people 15.6, -84.7 Honduras
GREEN
2 22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 6500 people 17, -85.6
GREEN
2 22 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 820000 people 18.7, -86.6
GREEN
2 23 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2.4 million people 20.3, -87.9 Mexico
GREEN
2 23 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 520000 people 22.1, -89.2
GREEN
2 24 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26, -91.5
GREEN
2 25 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 28.5, -93.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua
Honduras
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zelaya Nicaragua
Gracias a Dios Honduras
Olancho Honduras
Colon Honduras
Quintana Roo Mexico
Yucatan Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Valladolid Yucatán Mexico City 39000 people
Peto Yucatán Mexico City 18000 people
Calotmul Yucatán Mexico City -
Tizimín Yucatán Mexico City 40000 people
Espita Yucatán Mexico City 9900 people
Tekit Yucatán Mexico City 8800 people
Izamal Yucatán Mexico City 15000 people
Temax Yucatán Mexico City 6000 people
Dzilam de Gonzalez Yucatan Mexico City -
Tekoh Yucatan Mexico City -
Dzidzantún Yucatán Mexico City 7800 people
Acancéh Yucatán Mexico City 9300 people
Motul Yucatán Mexico City 21000 people
Tixkokob Yucatán Mexico City 10000 people
Kanasín Yucatán Mexico City 38000 people
Mérida Yucatán Mexico Major city 640000 people
Hunucmá Yucatán Mexico City 21000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Lempira PEU 8 Civ. Unpaved No 5000
Waspan 35 0
Mocoron / Durzuna 76 0
Ahuas AHS 30 0
Brus Laguna Araslaya BHG unknown 0
Iriona IRN unknown 0
Limon LMH unknown 0
Trujillo Capiro TJI unknown 0
Guanaja GJA 11 0
Cozumel International CZM 5 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
Tulum TUY 2 0
Playa Del Carmen PCM unknown 0
Carrillo Puerto 61 0
Chichen Itza CZA 31 0
24 0
Cupul TZM 17 0
Lic M Crecencio Rejon International MID 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
Cape Gracias A Dios Honduras
Puerto Lempire Honduras
Caratasco Honduras
Guanaja Island HNGJA Honduras
Herrero Point Mexico
Cozumel MXCZM Mexico
El Cuyo Mexico
Progreso MXPGO Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Uhi, Honduras. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (200 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 20 Aug 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Uhi Honduras  0.7
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.6
23 Aug 2020 14:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.5
23 Aug 2020 14:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.5
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Raya Honduras  0.5
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Clubki Honduras  0.5
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Kanko Honduras  0.5
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.5
23 Aug 2020 15:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.5
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.5
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.4
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.4
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.4
21 Aug 2020 07:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.4
23 Aug 2020 15:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.4
23 Aug 2020 14:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.4
23 Aug 2020 03:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.4
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Canco Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Happy Jack United States  0.3
23 Aug 2020 15:00 Progreso Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2020 09:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Potash United States  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Hesperides United States  0.3
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Nairn United States  0.3
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.3
23 Aug 2020 23:00 Noham Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2020 23:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2020 10:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2020 10:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2020 10:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.3
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Dapat Honduras  0.3
23 Aug 2020 05:00 Tulum Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2020 08:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
23 Aug 2020 16:00 Chelem Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2020 23:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2020 01:00 Celestum Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 West Pointe A la Hache United States  0.3
23 Aug 2020 23:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.3
23 Aug 2020 23:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.3
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Empire United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 05:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 05:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 05:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
21 Aug 2020 19:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2020 19:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.2
24 Aug 2020 00:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 05:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 West Point United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Breton United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Huarta Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
23 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Hilda United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gautier United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Leeville United States  0.2
23 Aug 2020 04:00 Chacalal Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Flake United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Buras United States  0.2
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
21 Aug 2020 21:00 Bruner Honduras  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
23 Aug 2020 22:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Surfside United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
21 Aug 2020 22:00 Donel Honduras  0.2
24 Aug 2020 20:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Mims United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Freeport United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Ostrica United States  0.2
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Neptune United States  0.2
21 Aug 2020 16:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 22:00 Iriona Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 22:00 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
24 Aug 2020 17:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Patton United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 High Island United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
21 Aug 2020 22:00 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
23 Aug 2020 12:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2020 19:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2020 22:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Caplen United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Boothville United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Palacios United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
21 Aug 2020 21:00 Limon Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 22:00 Farallones Honduras  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Duvic United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Cameron United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
21 Aug 2020 06:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Coden United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Nelson United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Surf United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Empalme Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Black Rock Honduras  0.1
23 Aug 2020 22:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
23 Aug 2020 22:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Apalachicola United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Eastpoint United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Yent Place United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Carrabelle United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Lanark Village United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Odena United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Tilton United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Franklin United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Fish Creek United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gasque United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Oak United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Swift United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Miffin United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
21 Aug 2020 23:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 23:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 22:00 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 23:00 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 23:00 Pital Honduras  0.1
21 Aug 2020 23:00 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
24 Aug 2020 03:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 San Blas United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Parker United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Tyndall AFB United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 McNeils United States  0.1
24 Aug 2020 21:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1