Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KRISTY-12
in Mexico
17 Sep 2012 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone KRISTY-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (16 Sep 05:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 56 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 111 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

      TOP

      Wind

        56 km/h Current Max.

        Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 12 Sep 2012 15:00 93 No people No people Mexico
          Green 2 12 Sep 2012 21:00 101 No people No people
          Green 3 13 Sep 2012 03:00 111 No people No people Mexico
          Green 4 13 Sep 2012 09:00 111 No people No people Mexico
          Green 5 13 Sep 2012 15:00 93 No people No people Mexico
          Green 6 13 Sep 2012 21:00 84 No people No people Mexico
          Green 7 14 Sep 2012 03:00 84 No people No people Mexico
          Green 8 14 Sep 2012 09:00 93 No people No people
          Green 9 14 Sep 2012 15:00 84 No people No people
          Green 10 14 Sep 2012 21:00 84 No people No people
          Green 11 15 Sep 2012 03:00 74 No people No people
          Green 12 15 Sep 2012 09:00 74 No people No people
          Green 13 15 Sep 2012 15:00 64 No people No people
          Green 14 15 Sep 2012 21:00 74 No people No people
          Green 15 16 Sep 2012 03:00 64 No people No people
          Green 16 16 Sep 2012 09:00 64 No people No people
          Green 17 16 Sep 2012 15:00 64 No people No people
          Green 18 16 Sep 2012 21:00 56 No people No people
          Green 19 17 Sep 2012 03:00 56 No people No people
          Green 20 17 Sep 2012 09:00 56 No people No people
          Green 21 17 Sep 2012 15:00 56 No people No people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 9/12/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.7, -106
            green
            		 2 9/12/2012 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.2, -106.9
            green
            		 3 9/13/2012 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 18, -107.4
            green
            		 4 9/13/2012 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 18.5, -108.5 Mexico
            green
            		 5 9/13/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 18.9, -109.3 Mexico
            green
            		 6 9/13/2012 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 19.3, -110.2 Mexico
            green
            		 7 9/14/2012 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 19.7, -111.1 Mexico
            green
            		 8 9/14/2012 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20, -112
            green
            		 9 9/14/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 20.4, -112.9
            green
            		 10 9/14/2012 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 20.6, -113.1
            green
            		 11 9/15/2012 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.2, -113.8
            green
            		 12 9/15/2012 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.8, -114.6
            green
            		 13 9/15/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 22.4, -115
            green
            		 14 9/15/2012 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 23.2, -115.6
            green
            		 15 9/16/2012 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 23.7, -116.2
            green
            		 16 9/16/2012 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 24.1, -117
            green
            		 17 9/16/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 24.5, -117.9
            green
            		 18 9/16/2012 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25, -118.5
            green
            		 19 9/17/2012 3:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25.3, -119.2
            green
            		 20 9/17/2012 9:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25.9, -119.4
            green
            		 21 9/17/2012 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 26.2, -119.5
            green
            		 21 9/18/2012 Tropical depression 47 no people no people 26.7, -119
            green
            		 21 9/18/2012 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 27, -118.2
            green
            		 21 9/19/2012 Tropical depression 27 no people no people 27.2, -117.5
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Baja California Sur

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

            TOP

            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

            TOP

            StormSurge

            0.1 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in San Felipe, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Sep 2012 05:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (3 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 16 Sep 2012 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            16 Sep 2012 05:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
            16 Sep 2012 15:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
            16 Sep 2012 16:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1