Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KENNETH-17 Off-shore from 18 Aug 2017 15:00 UTC to 23 Aug 2017 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-17

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (23 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	176 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	83 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	18 Aug 2017 12:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Aug 2017 18:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	19 Aug 2017 00:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	19 Aug 2017 06:00	142	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	19 Aug 2017 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Aug 2017 18:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	20 Aug 2017 00:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	20 Aug 2017 06:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	20 Aug 2017 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	20 Aug 2017 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	21 Aug 2017 00:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	21 Aug 2017 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	18 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	19 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	19 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	19 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	20 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	20 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	20 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	20 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	21 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	21 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 23 Aug 2017 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	23 Aug 2017 00:45	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.3
	22 Aug 2017 05:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	22 Aug 2017 04:45	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	22 Aug 2017 05:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 05:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 05:45	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 05:45	Ojo de Liebre	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 00:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 07:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 00:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 08:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 08:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 23:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 04:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 07:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 07:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 06:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 04:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 23:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 23:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 05:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 04:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 04:00	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 04:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 22:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Rincon	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Shepards	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Punta	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Faria	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Dulah	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Ventura	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:30	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 04:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Mission	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Montecito	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Summerland	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 10:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 10:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 10:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 09:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 10:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Port San Luis	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Avila Beach	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Sycamore Springs	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Pismo Beach	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Oceano	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Grover City	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:45	Callender	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Coromar	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Isla Vista	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 06:45	Goleta	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.