Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KENNETH-17 Off-shore from 18 Aug 2017 15:00 UTC to 23 Aug 2017 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-17

Off-shore

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (24 Aug 08:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	83 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	18 Aug 2017 12:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Aug 2017 18:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	19 Aug 2017 00:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	19 Aug 2017 06:00	142	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	19 Aug 2017 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Aug 2017 18:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	20 Aug 2017 00:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	20 Aug 2017 06:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	20 Aug 2017 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	20 Aug 2017 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	21 Aug 2017 00:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	21 Aug 2017 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	21 Aug 2017 12:00	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	21 Aug 2017 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	18 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	18 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	19 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	19 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	19 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	19 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	20 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	20 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	20 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	20 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	21 Aug 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	21 Aug 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	21 Aug 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	21 Aug 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 24 Aug 2017 08:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Aug 2017 08:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.5
	24 Aug 2017 08:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.4
	24 Aug 2017 08:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.4
	24 Aug 2017 08:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	24 Aug 2017 08:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	22 Aug 2017 00:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Ojo de Liebre	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 08:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 08:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	22 Aug 2017 00:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 08:15	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 23:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 03:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 06:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 04:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 07:45	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 07:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	21 Aug 2017 21:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 05:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	24 Aug 2017 07:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 04:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 14:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 14:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 14:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:15	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:45	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Punta	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Faria	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Dulah	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Ventura	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 20:15	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 12:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Montecito	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Summerland	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Rincon	United States	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 07:15	Shepards	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Port San Luis	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Avila Beach	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Sycamore Springs	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Pismo Beach	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Oceano	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Grover City	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 02:00	Callender	United States	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	21 Aug 2017 22:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 13:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 00:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	24 Aug 2017 11:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	22 Aug 2017 10:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 18:15	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 17:00	Harmony	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 17:00	Cayucos	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 17:00	Morro Bay	United States	0.1
	23 Aug 2017 17:00	Baywood Park	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.