Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORA-18 in Australia from 22 Mar 2018 06:00 UTC to 25 Mar 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-18

in Australia

23 Mar 2018 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	134 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.3 m (24 Mar 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	134 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	84 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

84 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Australia	03
Tropical Storm	Australia	6,808

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	22 Mar 2018 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Mar 2018 18:00	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	23 Mar 2018 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Mar 2018 06:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Mar 2018 12:00	143	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Mar 2018 18:00	134	Few people			-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	22 Mar 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Mar 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	23 Mar 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Mar 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Mar 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Mar 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.3m in Kowanyama, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Mar 2018 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Mar 2018 19:00	Kowanyama	Australia	1.3
	24 Mar 2018 06:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.6
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Mapoon	Australia	0.6
	24 Mar 2018 12:45	Kulinchin	Australia	0.6
	23 Mar 2018 18:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.6
	24 Mar 2018 07:00	Seisia	Australia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 07:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.5
	23 Mar 2018 18:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.5
	23 Mar 2018 20:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 07:00	Cape York	Australia	0.5
	23 Mar 2018 19:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 06:45	Hammond I	Australia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 06:45	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 01:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 11:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.5
	24 Mar 2018 08:00	Badu	Australia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 18:45	Gove	Australia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 18:45	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 18:45	Yirrkala	Australia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 21:15	Bing Bong	Australia	0.4
	24 Mar 2018 11:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 18:30	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 20:30	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.4
	23 Mar 2018 18:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 22:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 22:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 22:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 22:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 22:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Mar 2018 18:15	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 02:30	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	23 Mar 2018 20:30	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Mar 2018 20:30	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Mar 2018 20:30	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Mar 2018 20:30	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Mar 2018 23:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 11:45	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 11:30	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 04:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 04:15	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 03:45	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 20:30	Lower Tully	Australia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 20:30	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 13:45	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 13:45	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 13:45	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 13:45	Coolbie	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 13:45	Mutarnee	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 14:15	Moongobulla	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 14:15	Kinduro	Australia	0.2
	26 Mar 2018 14:15	Rollingstone	Australia	0.2
	24 Mar 2018 07:30	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Mar 2018 03:45	Mossman	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 03:45	Miallo	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 03:45	Wonga	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 03:45	Port Douglas	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 04:00	Hockley	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 14:30	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:30	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 22:30	Cooktown	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 19:15	Elim	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 16:30	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 20:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 15:45	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 15:45	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 15:45	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Trinity Beach	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Barron Falls	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Freshwater	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Yorkeys Knob	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Stratford	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 16:30	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 16:30	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 23:00	Ayton	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:15	Mimako	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:15	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:15	Timuka	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 15:45	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 15:45	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:15	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:30	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 13:00	Eucla Motel	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Cairns	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:15	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	24 Mar 2018 07:15	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:00	Woree	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 09:00	Edge Hill	Australia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 06:00	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 05:30	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Mar 2018 05:30	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Mar 2018 18:00	Alva	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.