Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FAKIR-18 in Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands from 23 Apr 2018 12:00 UTC to 25 Apr 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FAKIR-18

in Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

24 Apr 2018 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FAKIR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mauritius, Reunion,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (25 Apr 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mauritius)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	76 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	83 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

Up to 570 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mauritius, Reunion	569,536	+
	Mauritius	375,772
	Reunion	193,532
	Other countries	232

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	23 Apr 2018 12:00	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2018 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2018 00:00	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2018 06:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mauritius, Reunion, Other countries

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	23 Apr 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Victoria, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 25 Apr 2018 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Apr 2018 03:30	Victoria	Seychelles	0.4
	25 Apr 2018 03:30	Anse Boileau	Seychelles	0.4
	24 Apr 2018 15:45	Anse Volbert Village	Seychelles	0.3
	24 Apr 2018 15:45	La Reunion	Seychelles	0.3
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Philippe	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Joseph	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Cascades	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Petite Ile	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Pierre	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Sainte-Rose	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Louis	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Etang Sale	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Bras-Panon	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Benoit	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Les Avirons	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Sainte-Suzanne	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Andre	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Marie	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Leu	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Trois Bassins	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 11:00	Riche-en-Eau	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 11:00	Maheboug	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 11:00	Grande Reviere Sud Est	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 14:00	Trou aux Biches	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 14:00	Saint-Antoine	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 14:00	Riviere du Rempart	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Paul	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Saint-Denis	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 06:30	La Possession	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 06:30	Le Port	Reunion	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Choisy	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Chemin Grenier	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Black River	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 17:15	La Ferme	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 17:15	Port Mathurin	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Apr 2018 09:15	Souillac	Mauritius	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.