Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FAKIR-18
in Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
24 Apr 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FAKIR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 82 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (25 Apr 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mauritius)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 82 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

83 km/h

Up to 1.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,222,181
+
Mauritius1,002,392 
Reunion219,595 
Other countries194 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2018 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2018 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Apr 2018 00:00 82 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Apr 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Victoria, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 25 Apr 2018 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2018 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Apr 2018 03:30 Victoria Seychelles  0.5
25 Apr 2018 03:30 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.5
24 Apr 2018 15:45 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.4
25 Apr 2018 03:15 La Reunion Seychelles  0.3
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
24 Apr 2018 04:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
24 Apr 2018 00:45 La Possession Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Le Port Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Cascades Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:30 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:30 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:30 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 00:30 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
24 Apr 2018 04:45 Black River Mauritius  0.1