Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EMILIA-18 Off-shore from 27 Jun 2018 21:00 UTC to 02 Jul 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EMILIA-18

Off-shore

28 Jun 2018 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EMILIA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	0 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (01 Jul 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	0 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	0 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

-4 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	27 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2018 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2018 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2018 06:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.8
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.8
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Molino	Mexico	0.8
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.8
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.7
	01 Jul 2018 06:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 06:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 06:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.6
	01 Jul 2018 06:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.5
	30 Jun 2018 06:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.4
	30 Jun 2018 18:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 06:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 16:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 16:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 16:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 16:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 05:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 05:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 15:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 05:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 19:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 00:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 23:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2018 23:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2018 04:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2018 16:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 12:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 12:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 16:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 23:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 23:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 23:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 15:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 15:45	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:15	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 13:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 04:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 04:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 00:15	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 00:15	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 00:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 00:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 13:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 13:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 15:45	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:45	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 23:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 19:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 14:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 12:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 11:30	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 16:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 22:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 11:45	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 11:45	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 11:45	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 14:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 14:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 14:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:30	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:30	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 22:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 12:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 12:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 15:45	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 13:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 12:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2018 16:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2018 13:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2018 00:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.