Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WUTIP-19
in Guam
21 Feb 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WUTIP-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Guam, Federated States of Micronesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 160 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 160 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 160 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormGuam, Federated States of Micronesia53,278
+
Guam02 
Federated States of Micronesia53,276 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Feb 2019 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 19 Feb 2019 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 19 Feb 2019 12:00 125 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Feb 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Feb 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Feb 2019 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Feb 2019 12:00 160 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 50 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Feb 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 19 Feb 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 19 Feb 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Feb 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Feb 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Feb 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Feb 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Almongui, Palau. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Almongui Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Dabadoru Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Goikul Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Galakasan Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Melekeok Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Karaeru Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Ulubosan Palau  0.6
24 Feb 2019 00:00 Galap Palau  0.6
22 Feb 2019 10:00 Konlei Palau  0.3
23 Feb 2019 19:45 Airai Palau  0.3
22 Feb 2019 09:30 Koror Palau  0.3
22 Feb 2019 16:00 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 16:00 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 16:00 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 16:00 Lot Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 16:00 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 10:15 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
22 Feb 2019 10:15 Attalabul Palau  0.2
22 Feb 2019 10:15 Ngalkol Palau  0.2
22 Feb 2019 09:45 Angaur Palau  0.2
23 Feb 2019 08:15 Ishinomura Japan  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Piti Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Asan Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Hagatna Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Sinajana Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Mongmong Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Tamuning Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Barrigada Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Asbeco Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Adacao Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Upi Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Agat Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Ylig Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Yona Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 08:15 Higashi Japan  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Talofofo Guam  0.2
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Umatac Guam  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Merizo Guam  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Inarajan Guam  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
23 Feb 2019 20:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1