Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARCO-20
in United States, Mexico, Cuba, Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARCO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Aug 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 161 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 230 km/h 2.0 m 759 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

230 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Aug 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Aug 2020 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Aug 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Aug 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Aug 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Aug 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmUnited States7,462 
100-250 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico50,899
+
United States38,118 
Cuba05 
Mexico12,776 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize1,171,122
+
United States644,694 
Cuba57 
Mexico525,066 
Belize1,305 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Aug 2020 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Aug 2020 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Aug 2020 00:00 102 -
- - - - - Nicaragua, Honduras
Blue 4 21 Aug 2020 06:00 246 8 thousand
- - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 5 21 Aug 2020 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Honduras
Blue 6 21 Aug 2020 18:00 203 Few people
- - - - Honduras
Blue 7 22 Aug 2020 00:00 615 60 thousand
- - - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Belize




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Navco, United States. This height is estimated for 22 Aug 2020 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Navco United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Mertz United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Chickasaw United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Cox United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Mobile United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Magazine United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Nenemoosha United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Blakeley United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Bridgehead United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Jackson Oak United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Park City United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Fairhope United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Houstonville United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Montrose United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Buzbee Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Seacliff United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Daphne United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Spanish Fort United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Caserio Pescadores Cuba  0.2
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Yent Place United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Carrabelle United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Lanark Village United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:00 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Battles Wharf United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Darling Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Bryant Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Point Clear United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Foots Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Barnwell United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Turkey Branch United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Yupon United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Fish Creek United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Franklin United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Apalachicola United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:45 Eastpoint United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Delchamps United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Bayleys Corner United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Mon Louis United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:15 Bellefontaine United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:45 Mandalay United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Canco Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Kanko Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 North Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Doyle United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Portland United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Horseshoe Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Shired Island United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Dallus Creek Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Steinhatchee United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Jena United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Bayside United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Estes United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Rockport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Fulton United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Henderson Point United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 De Lisle United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Pass Christian United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Cuevas United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 White Harbor United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Long Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Gulfport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Mississippi City United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Handsboro United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Loraine United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Wool Market United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Edgewater Park United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:45 Beauvoir United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 01:30 Suwannee United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Cedar Lake United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Biloxi United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 D'Iberville United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Saint Martin United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:00 Surf United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Ocean Springs United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Gulf Hills United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Raya Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Clubki Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 02:15 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Panacea United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Medart United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Skipper United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Live Oak Island United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Hyde Park United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Wakulla Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Saint Marks United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Port Leon United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Newport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 03:30 Plum Orchard United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 00:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Indian Pass United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Odena United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Nine Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 05:30 Tilton United States  0.1