Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for BAVI-20 in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea from 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC to 27 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20

in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	China, Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (21 Aug 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.3 m	126 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	194 km/h	2.4 m	774 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

194 km/h

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	China, Japan	1,496,715	+
	China	58
	Japan	1,496,657

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Japan	543
100-250 mm	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan	1,972,545	+
	China	989,526
	North Korea	643,914
	Japan	171,065
	Taiwan	168,040
50-100 mm	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines	12,208,255	+
	China	1,569,032
	North Korea	4,383,233
	Japan	1,269,984
	Taiwan	4,710,692
	Philippines	275,314

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	724	2 million				-	-	-	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Abulug, Philippines. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2020 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Abulug	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Catuguran	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Linao	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Bisagu	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Aparri	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Alilinu	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Punta	Philippines	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 21:15	Honai	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 21:15	Toyohara	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 21:15	Kobama	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 21:15	Agarisuji	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Qiandong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Jingzhou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Huanglong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Huanggang	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Houzhai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Raoping	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Zhelin	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Shenao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Nanao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Chelim	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Gongkou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Ch'ien-tung-hsu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Chengguanzhen	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Guleitou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Gangkou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Hsia-mei	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Liu'ao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Shentu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:45	Balza	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:45	Buguey	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Shenquan	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Siwei	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Hsing-ch'en	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Chendai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Hsi-pu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Huqiu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Wutian	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Donghong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Sidu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Dongshan	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Ssu-tu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Gongqiancun	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Chencheng	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Guanjing	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Qingfeng	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Pingtan	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Houtian	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Hecuo	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Liuwudian	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Aotou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Xindian	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	An-ting	Taiwan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Ma-chiang	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Chin-men	Taiwan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Lianhe	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Ch'ing-hsu	Taiwan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Shijing	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Chin-men Tao	Taiwan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Yang-chai	Taiwan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Tung-shih	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Xucuo	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Gulangyu	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Xiamen	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Dianqian	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Jiangtou	China	0.2
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Dahao	China	0.2
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Aotou	China	0.2
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Daitou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Jiuzhen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Chihu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Jindo	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Aenang-ni	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Changdong	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Anjong	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Haicang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Gangwei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Songyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Chen-hai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Daomei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Zhenhai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:45	Fotan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Jiazi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Changqingwei	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Guangao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Chu-ch'iao-chen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Dingqiao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Chaoyang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Chiu-hsiang-chen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Huangwan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Ganpu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Guhuai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Chiang-t'ien	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Chang-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Chin-feng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Wuhang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Daxu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Zhuxi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:30	Qiancang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsi-hui-tsui	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ch'ien-ni	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsieh-t'ang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Changchuanba	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Shantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Jinghai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Haimen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Weitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Chin-ching	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Yakou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Linshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Zhongmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	P'u-hsi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	P'u-hsi-ch'eng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Meizhou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Daitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Pinghai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:00	Shicheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Langqi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Changmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Tantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Fengwo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Yunlong	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Yanweigang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Chou-hung-ch'iu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Heng-pa-ts'un	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Hsiung-ting-yu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Ch'ao-yang-hsien	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsing-chuang	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Hsia-k'ou	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Xugou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Beicuo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:15	Cao Yu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsiao-an-chieh	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hu-chia-lu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Haiyan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Baizhuzhen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Changqian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:45	Baisheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Hushi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Hanjiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Chiang-k'ou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Yuxi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Tangbian	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Haitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:45	Nanri	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:30	Anhai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Tongho-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Yongpo-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Songhung-ni	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chakto-dong	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Dongxi Liandao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Shih-shih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Fuye	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:00	Ta-ch'iu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Yongning	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Hsiang-chih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Katsuto	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Haenggan-ni	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Wando	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Bira-ri	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Changji-dong	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Shihu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Qian'an	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:15	Chongwu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	I-shan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Jinxiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Fengting	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Dongsha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Lingchuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Fengwei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Shih-ma-chuang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Baisha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Touyan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Chenyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Huanshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Kanmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:30	Dawu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:30	Hsiao-tso	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Wusi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Guoyuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Lao-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Donghai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 21:30	Shuyuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Chamdu	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Changjong-ni	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Chinch'ang	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 22:45	Chinsan-ni	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Gaoshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Dinghai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Ganlan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Dongsha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Gaoting	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Nanfeng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Luomen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Changtu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:15	Ta-chan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Dongyuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Zhangban	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Tung-tai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Guanban	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ting-hai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:30	Wangchuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Shacheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Pucheng	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Sangsin	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Anp'o	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chungbang	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chabong	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Ch'angch'on	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Yeosu	Republic of Korea	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Chukp'o	Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	P'u-ch'i	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Chumen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:30	Ta-yu-chien	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Jiuliqi	China	0.1
	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Yancangcheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 20:15	Ch'ang-t'an-wo	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Changchun	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Wuqu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Luxia	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 19:45	Sansha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Banping	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 23:45	Bei'ao	China	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.