Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for BAVI-20 in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea from 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC to 27 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20

in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (21 Aug 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (North Korea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	91 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	194 km/h	2.4 m	774 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

194 km/h

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Japan	32,407
Tropical Storm	Japan	1,464,421

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	158	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Japan	111,607
100-250 mm	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan	1,556,539	+
	China	88,614
	North Korea	189,761
	Japan	1,268,004
	Taiwan	10,160
50-100 mm	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines	10,425,445	+
	China	4,573,369
	North Korea	2,065,425
	Japan	169,044
	Taiwan	3,529,887
	Philippines	87,720

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	588	1.7 million				-	-	-	China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Honai, Japan. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2020 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2020 14:00	Honai	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 14:00	Toyohara	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 14:00	Kobama	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 14:00	Agarisuji	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Shenquan	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Abulug	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Catuguran	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Linao	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Bisagu	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Aparri	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Alilinu	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Punta	Philippines	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Donghong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Jinghai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Ch'ao-yang-hsien	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Haimen	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Dahao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Daitou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Siwei	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Jingzhou	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Huanglong	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Houzhai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Zhelin	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Shenao	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Guhuai	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Chiang-t'ien	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Guanjing	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Qingfeng	China	0.2
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tokushima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tsudacho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Kagasuno	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Komatsushima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Akaishicho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tatsue	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Ochi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Honoura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tachibana	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tomikacho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Nakashima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Kotashima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Anan	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Shantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Aotou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Guangao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Gongqiancun	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chencheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsing-ch'en	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chendai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsi-pu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chengguanzhen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Guleitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Gangkou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Pingtan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Houtian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Nanao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Balza	Philippines	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Buguey	Philippines	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Dingqiao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsi-hui-tsui	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chaoyang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chiu-hsiang-chen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ch'ien-ni	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Huangwan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ganpu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsieh-t'ang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Changchuanba	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Chu-ch'iao-chen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Jiazi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Changqingwei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsia-mei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Liu'ao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Shentu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Haiyan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Baizhuzhen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Changqian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Xitang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Wai-wang-chuang-ch'iao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Cheng-chia-tai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Zhapu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Niu-ch'iao-shih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Hsing-hsing-chen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Linshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Huqiu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Wutian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Raoping	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chelim	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Gongkou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Sidu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Dongshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Chang-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Chin-feng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Wuhang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ssu-tu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ch'ien-tung-hsu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Qiandong	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Huanggang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Langqi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Changmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Tantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Fengwo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Yunlong	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Baisheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Jiuzhen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chihu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chou-hung-ch'iu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Heng-pa-ts'un	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsiung-ting-yu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsiao-an-chieh	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hu-chia-lu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Fotan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Gangwei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chen-hai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Daomei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	I-shan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Jinxiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Yacheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Sansha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Huang-ch'i	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Shacheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Pucheng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Aotou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	An-ting	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chin-men	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Ch'ing-hsu	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chin-men Tao	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Yang-chai	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Xucuo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Gulangyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Zhenhai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Tongho-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Yongpo-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Songhung-ni	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chakto-dong	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Weitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Shijing	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chin-ching	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:15	Chou-chia-peng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Kanmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Ch'ing-chiang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Chumen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Lingmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Aohuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Dalu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Guan'ao	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Changchun	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:00	Wuqu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 13:30	Chia-li-wan	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 13:30	Su-ao	Taiwan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Yongning	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Shihu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hsiang-chih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Qian'an	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Chongwu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Tung-tai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Guanban	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:45	Ting-hai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Shih-shih	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Yakou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hecuo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Beicuo	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Cao Yu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 14:45	Yanweigang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Guantou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Mabi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:30	Luxia	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Nonami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Chikumi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Mambara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Katae	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Moriyama	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Wataricho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Tonoecho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Watari	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Shichirui	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Takenouchicho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Sakai-Minato	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Fukuura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Yoshizu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	O-Shinozucho	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kumozu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kamiguchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Higuchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Goto	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kamidani	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Mihonoseki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Mihonseki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Abe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Yonago	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Higashi-Fukuhara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kami-fukubara	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kaike-Onsen	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kuzumo	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Soda	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kaya	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Kawaoka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Odaka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Dianqian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Jiangtou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Fengting	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Dongsha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Lingchuan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Fengwei	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Zhongmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Hushi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	P'u-hsi	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	P'u-hsi-ch'eng	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Meizhou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Shih-ma-chuang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Baisha	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Touyan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Chenyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:30	Huanshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Daitou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Anhai	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Haicang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Songyu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Xiamen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Hsing-chuang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Hsia-k'ou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 17:15	Xugou	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 14:15	San Shah	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 14:15	Gaoshan	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 14:15	Ta-ch'iu	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Shih-t'ang	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 16:45	Songmen	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Liuwudian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Xindian	China	0.1
	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Lianhe	China	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.