Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 070600
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0600 UTC 07 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I
CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA
MOVED NEARLY WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 14 KNOTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS,
CROSSED SOMALIA COAST NEAR LATITUDE 7.4 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 49.6 DEG
E DURING 0200 TO 0300 UTC OF 07TH DECEMBER 2019 AS A CYCLONIC
STORM WITH A WIND SPEED OF 30-40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS, WEAKENED
INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTERED AT 0300 UTC OF 07TH DECEMBER,
2019 OVER COASTAL SOMALIA AND NEIGHBOURHOOD NEAR LATITUDE 7.4 DEG N
AND LONGITUDE 49.5 DEG E. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO MOVE
NEARLY WESTWARDS AND WEAKEN INTO A DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 06 HOURS
AND INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING THE SUBSEQUENT 12
HOURS (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 12 UTC 07.00 N / 48.42 E MAX WIND SPEED 20
KTS DEPRESSION (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/08 AT 00 UTC NIL (.)

PART-II

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES
OVER MALDIVES AREA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH
EMBEDDED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEALEVEL A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA
AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIANOCEAN. ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UPTO MID^TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOMEMORE
MARKED DURING NEXT 24 HOURS (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 20/30 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 60 TO 74 DEG E :SE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
10/20 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 14 DEG N :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N : 6-4 NM (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 5 DEG N: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 17 DEG N :ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 18 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: 8-6 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 070440
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0300 UTC 07 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I
CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN
SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 13 KNOTS DURING PAST
06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0000 UTC OF 07TH DECEMBER, 2019 NEAR
LATITUDE 7.4 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 49.8 DEG E OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN
SEA.LATEST OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS CROSSING SOMALIA
COAST CLOSE TO LATITUDE 7.4 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 49.6 DEG E.IT IS
VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY. (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 12 UTC 07.00 N / 48.42 EMAX WIND SPEED
20 KTS DEPRESSION (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/08 AT 00 UTC NIL (.)

PART-II

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES
OVER MALDIVES AREA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH
EMBEDDED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEALEVEL A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA
AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIANOCEAN. ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UPTO MID^TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOMEMORE
MARKED DURING NEXT 24 HOURS (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 20/40 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 60 TO 74 DEG E :SE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
10/20 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 14 DEG N :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N : 6-4 NM (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 5 DEG N: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 17 DEG N :ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 18 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: 8-6 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 070420

GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0300 UTC 07 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I
CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN )
OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A
SPEED OF 13 KNOTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0000
UTC OF 07TH DECEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 7.4 DEG N AND LONGITUDE
49.8 DEG E OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.LATEST OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE SYSTEM IS CROSSING SOMALIA COAST CLOSE TO LATITUDE 7.4
DEG N AND LONGITUDE 49.6 DEG E.IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY. (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 45 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 00 UTC 07.00 N / 48.42 EMAX WIND SPEED 20
KTS DEPRESSION (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 12 UTC NIL (.)

PART-II

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES
OVER MALDIVES AREA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH
EMBEDDED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEALEVEL A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIANOCEAN. ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO MID^TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS. IT IS LIKELY
TO BECOMEMORE MARKED DURING NEXT 24 HOURS (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 20/40 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 60 TO 74 DEG E :SE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
10/20 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 14 DEG N :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N : 6-4 NM (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 5 DEG N: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 17 DEG N :ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 18 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: 8-6 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 062030
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1800 UTC 06 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I
CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST
ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 20 KMPH
DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 1800 UTC OF 06TH
DECEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 7.5?N AND LONGITUDE 51.3?E
OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, ABOUT 640 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SOCOTRA (41494) AND 480 KM SOUTHEAST OF BOSASO (63210).
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS A CYCLONIC
STORM DURING NEXT 06 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY THEREAFTER.
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING NEXT
24 HOURS AND CROSS SOMALIA COAST AS A DEEP DEPRESSION WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 55-65 KMPH GUSTING TO 75 KMPH
CLOSE TO LATITUDE 07?N (AROUND GARACAD, MUDUG) DURING 0400-0700
UTC OF 07TH DECEMBER (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 00 UTC 07.0 N / 50.00 E MAX
WIND SPEED 35 KTS CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 12 UTC 06.06 N / 47.42 E MAX
WIND SPEED 25 KTS DEPRESSION (.)

PART-II

THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES OVER COMORIN AREA
AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN NOW LIES OVER MALDIVES
AREA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH EMBEDDED
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY
TO FORM OVER MALDIVES AREA DURING NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY
TO BECOME MORE MARKED SUBSEQUENTLY (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 25/30 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 60 TO 74 DEG E :SE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC
CYCLONIC 10/20 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 14 DEG N :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N : 6-4 NM (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 5 DEG N: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 17 DEG N :ANTICYCLONIC 05/10
KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 18 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10
KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: 8-6 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 061515
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1500 UTC 06 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I
CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA
MOVED WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 03 KNOTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY
CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 06TH DECEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE
7.9 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 52.3 DEG E OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, ABOUT
550 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCOTRA (YEMEN) AND 510 KM SOUTHEAST OF
BOSASO (SOMALIA). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS A
CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY THEREAFTER.
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING NEXT 24 HOURS
AND CROSS SOMALIA COAST AS A DEEP DEPRESSION WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED OF 30-35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS CLOSE TO LATITUDE 07
DEG N (AROUND GARACAD, MUDUG) DURING THE FORENOON OF 07TH DECEMBER
(.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 00 UTC 07.0 N / 50.00 E MAX WIND SPEED 35
KTS CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 12 UTC 06.06 N / 47.42 E MAX WIND SPEED 25
KTS DEPRESSION (.)

PART-II

THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES OVER COMORIN AREA AND
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN NOW LIES OVER MALDIVES AREA AND
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH EMBEDDED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A
LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER MALDIVES AREA DURING NEXT 24
HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED SUBSEQUENTLY (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 25/30 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 60 TO 74 DEG E :SE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
10/20 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 14 DEG N :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N : 6-4 NM (.)
2)N OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 5 DEG N: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 17 DEG N :ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA :CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 18 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS
(.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 14 DEG N: 8-6 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 061500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206141351
2019120612 06A PAWAN 015 01 255 10 SATL 060
T000 076N 0518E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 069N 0497E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 062N 0474E 030
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 7.6N 51.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 51.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.9N 49.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 061500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 7.6N 51.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 51.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.9N 49.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.2N 47.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 51.3E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 508

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 061500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206141351
2019120612 06A PAWAN 015 01 255 10 SATL 060
T000 076N 0518E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 069N 0497E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 062N 0474E 030
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 7.6N 51.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 51.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.9N 49.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.2N 47.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 51.3E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 508
NM SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 558E 40
0619120512 90N 548E 40
0619120518 84N 540E 35
0619120600 81N 535E 35
0619120606 79N 528E 35
0619120612 76N 518E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 7.6N 51.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 51.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.9N 49.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.2N 47.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 51.3E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 508
NM SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
OF AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 061309Z SSMIS 91GHZ COMPOSITE
MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD,
DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL
POSITION WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT
35 KNOTS BASED ON THE LOWER END OF DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 2.5-3.0 (35-45 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD
OUTFLOW AND WARM SST (27C). TC 06A IS FORECAST TO TRACK
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. TC PAWAN WILL MAKE LANDFALL
NEAR TAU 12 AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 24 AS IT TRACKS INLAND.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 061000
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0930 UTC 06 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I

PART-I

CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN
SEA:

CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN(PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN
SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 05 KNOTS DURING
PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0600 UTC OF 06TH DECEMBER, 2019
NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 52.6 DEG E OVER SOUTHWEST
ARABIAN SEA, ABOUT 540 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCOTRA (41494)
AND 530 KM SOUTHEAST OF BOSASO (63210). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS A CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 12 HOURS
AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY THEREAFTER. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING NEXT 24 HOURS AND CROSS SOMALIA
COAST AS A DEEP DEPRESSION WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED
OF 30-35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS CLOSE TO LATITUDE
07 DEG N (AROUND GARACAD, MUDUG) DURING 0000-0300 UTC OF 07TH
DECEMBER (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/06 AT 18 UTC 07.12 N / 50.36 E MAX WIND SPEED 35
KTS CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/07 AT 06 UTC 06.36 N / 48.36 E MAX WIND SPEED 25
KTS DEPRESSION (.)

PART-II

THE TROUGH IN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLIES OVER COMORIN AREA AND
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN NOW LIES OVER MALDIVES AREA AND
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN WITH EMBEDDED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A
LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER MALDIVES AREA DURING NEXT 24
HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED SUBSEQUENTLY (.)

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 25/30 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 65 :NE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 15/20 KTS TO
THE W OF 72 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 56 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA : FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 56 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA : 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.0-4.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 62 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 62 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0 -2.5 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS BEC E/SE-LY 10/15 KTS
TO THE W OF 62 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 20 DEG N TO W OF 61 DEG E :WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)S OF 13 DEG N SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 20 DEG N TO W OF 61 DEG E :3-2 NM (.)
2)S OF 13 DEG N 6-4 NM (.)
3)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 6 DEG N NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 6 DEG N NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 060900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206073913
2019120606 06A PAWAN 014 01 250 05 SATL 050
T000 079N 0530E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 072N 0510E 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 065N 0490E 030
T036 056N 0467E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 7.9N 53.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N 53.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.2N 51.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 060900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 7.9N 53.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N 53.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.2N 51.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.5N 49.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 5.6N 46.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 060900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206073913
2019120606 06A PAWAN 014 01 250 05 SATL 050
T000 079N 0530E 035 R034 065 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 072N 0510E 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 065N 0490E 030
T036 056N 0467E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 7.9N 53.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N 53.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.2N 51.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.5N 49.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 5.6N 46.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 7.7N 52.5E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 558E 40
0619120512 90N 548E 40
0619120518 84N 540E 35
0619120600 81N 535E 35
0619120606 79N 530E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 7.9N 53.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N 53.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.2N 51.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.5N 49.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 5.6N 46.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 7.7N 52.5E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 060321Z SSMIS 91GHZ COMPOSITE
MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES LIMITED CURVED BANDING OVER THE NORTH
QUADRANT OF THE LLCC WITH A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION
OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED ON A 060544Z ASCAT-B BULLSEYE IMAGE SHOWING AN ELONGATED,
DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 35 KNOT WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, GOOD OUTFLOW AND WARM SST (27C). TC 06A IS FORECAST TO TRACK
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. TC PAWAN WILL MAKE LANDFALL
NEAR TAU 24 AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 36 AS IT TRACKS INLAND.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 060300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206022622
2019120600 06A PAWAN 013 01 250 09 SATL 025
T000 081N 0531E 035 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 074N 0512E 035 R034 100 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 067N 0492E 030
T036 060N 0472E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 8.1N 53.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N 53.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.4N 51.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 060300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 8.1N 53.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N 53.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.4N 51.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.7N 49.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.0N 47.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 060300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191206022622
2019120600 06A PAWAN 013 01 250 09 SATL 025
T000 081N 0531E 035 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 074N 0512E 035 R034 100 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 067N 0492E 030
T036 060N 0472E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 8.1N 53.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N 53.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.4N 51.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.7N 49.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.0N 47.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 7.9N 52.6E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 537
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z
AND 070300Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 558E 40
0619120512 90N 548E 40
0619120518 84N 540E 35
0619120600 81N 531E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 8.1N 53.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N 53.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.4N 51.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.7N 49.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.0N 47.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 7.9N 52.6E.
06DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 537
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
IMAGERY DEPICTS A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING JUST OVER AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURING THE
EXACT POSITION OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION PLACEMENT IS
SUPPORTED BY A 060000Z SSMI 85GHZ IMAGE THAT DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL BANDING
WRAPPING IN BENEATH THE FLARE UP OF CONVECTION LENDING FAIR CONFIDENCE
TO THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35
KNOTS) AND A SATCON ESTIMATE OF 37 KNOTS. TC 06A REMAINS IN AN AREA OF
MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND STRONG POLEWARD
FLOW ALOFT. TC 06A WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD,
FOLLOWING THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
NORTHEAST, WITH ANTICIPATED LANDFALL IN SOMALIA AT TAU 24. AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND, IT WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH
THE TERRAIN. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT REGARDING THE TRACK,
PLACING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 052100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205203612
2019120518 06A PAWAN 012 01 230 08 SATL 030
T000 085N 0542E 035 R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 077N 0523E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 070N 0504E 030
T036 064N 0483E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 54.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 54.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.7N 52.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 052100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 54.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 54.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.7N 52.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.0N 50.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.4N 48.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 052100
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205203612
2019120518 06A PAWAN 012 01 230 08 SATL 030
T000 085N 0542E 035 R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 077N 0523E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 070N 0504E 030
T036 064N 0483E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 54.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 54.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.7N 52.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.0N 50.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.4N 48.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 8.3N 53.7E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
051800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z
AND 062100Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 558E 40
0619120512 90N 548E 40
0619120518 85N 542E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 052100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 8.5N 54.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N 54.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.7N 52.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.0N 50.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.4N 48.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
052100Z POSITION NEAR 8.3N 53.7E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) IMAGERY
REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDER UPPER-
LEVEL CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY A BULLSEYE
051734Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL
POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KTS IS HEDGED ON THE LOWER END
OF A CONSENSUS OF SUBJECTIVE DVORAK AND AUTOMATED CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 35-39 KTS. THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS
DEPICTED A REGION OF 25-29 KTS WINDS IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF THE
SYSTEM, LENDING GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL INTENSITY. TC 06A
REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
AND STRONG POLEWARD FLOW ALOFT. THE PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
HAS CAUSED THE MAJORITY OF THE FLARING CONVECTION TO BE LIMITED TO THE
NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN
ITS STRONG OUTFLOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, OFFSETTING THE
PERSISTENT VWS AND MAINTAINING SYSTEM STRENGTH UNTIL LANDFALL. TC 06A
WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH WITH ANTICIPATED LANDFALL IN SOMALIA PRIOR
TO TAU 36. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND, IT WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AS
IT INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
REGARDING THE STEERING SCENARIO WITH ONLY 40 NM OF CROSS-TRACK SPREAD
PRIOR TO LANDFALL, PLACING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 9.4N 54.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 54.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.9N 53.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.2N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 7.5N 49.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 9.3N 54.5E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 458
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT AGENCY
FIXES AND 050916Z GMI SENSOR MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
INTENSITY OF 40 KNOT IS CONSISTENT WITH A CONSENSUS OF SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK AND AUTOMATED INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER
DATA. TC 06A LIES WITHIN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND STRONG POLEWARD FLOW ALOFT. PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT HAS LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PARTIALLY-EXPOSED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. VWS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD, BUT STRONG OUTFLOW SHOULD ENABLE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION TO FLARE PERIODICALLY AND PREVENT DISSIPATION PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. TC 06A WILL FOLLOW THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH TOWARD ANTICIPATED LANDFALL IN SOMALIA
PRIOR TO TAU 36. PASSAGE OVER LAND WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM
SHORTLY THEREAFTER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
REGARDING THE HIGH CERTAINTY STEERING SCENARIO. THEREFORE, THERE IS
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 051500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205132437
2019120512 06A PAWAN 011 01 265 09 SATL 040
T000 094N 0549E 040 R034 130 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 089N 0532E 035 R034 090 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 082N 0513E 035 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 075N 0493E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 9.4N 54.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 54.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.9N 53.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 051500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 9.4N 54.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 54.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.9N 53.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.2N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 051500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205132437
2019120512 06A PAWAN 011 01 265 09 SATL 040
T000 094N 0549E 040 R034 130 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 089N 0532E 035 R034 090 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 082N 0513E 035 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 075N 0493E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 9.4N 54.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 54.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.9N 53.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.2N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 7.5N 49.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 9.3N 54.5E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 458
NM SOUTH OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 558E 40
0619120512 94N 549E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 051037
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1000 UTC 05 DECEMBER 2019.

PART-I

(A)CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN (PRONOUNCED AS PAVAN) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN
SEA: CYCLONIC STORM \U2018PAWAN\U2019 (PRONOUNCED AS
\U2018PAVAN\U2019) OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA MOVED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 03 KTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS
ANDLAY CENTRED AT 0600 UTC OF 05 DECEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 09.5
DEG N AND LONGITUDE 56.3 DEG E OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, ABOUT 430
KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA (41494) AND 800 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
BOSASO (63210). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS A
CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 18 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY THEREAFTER.
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING NEXT 36 HOURS
AND CROSS SOMALIA COAST AS A DEPRESSION BETWEEN LATITUDES 07 DEG AND
08 DEG N DURING 0000-0300 UTC OF 07 TH DECEMBER (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA (.)

F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/12/05 AT 18 UTC 9.2 N / 54.5 E MAX WIND SPEED 40
KTS CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/12/06 AT 06 UTC 8.4 N / 52.7 E MAX WIND SPEED 30
KTS DEEP DEPRESSION (.)

(B)DEPRESSION OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA:THE DEPRESSION OVER
EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 8
KTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTREDAT 0600 UTCOF 05 TH DECEMBER,
2019, OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 DEG N AND
LONGITUDE 67.2 DEG E ABOUT 730 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI (43003)
AND 710 KM OF WEST OF PANJIM (43192). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY INTO A WELL MARKED LOW
PRESSURE AREA DURING NEXT 06 HOURS (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA (.)

PART-II

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E :CYCLONIC 35/40 KTS (.)
2)N OF 4 DEG N TO E OF 65 :NE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 10/20 KTS
TO THE W OF 73 DEG E (.)
3)REST AREA: SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 60 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)W OF 60 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 60 DEG E:3-2 NM (.)
2)W OF 60 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 6.0-10.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 2.0-3.5 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E: CYCLONIC 25/30 KTS (.)
2)E OF 64 TO 73 DEG E :SE/E-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 05/20 KTS TO
THE W OF 69 DEG E TO N OF 5 DEG N (.)
3)REST AREA: NE-LY 05/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)W OF 60 DEG E: 6.0-9.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-4.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)S OF 18 DEG N TO E OF 62 DEG E:
CYCLONIC 15/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 20 DEG N: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 20 DEG N: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)S OF 20 DEG N: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 2.0 -3.0 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 20 DEG N TO W OF 68 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 20 DEG N TO W OF 68 DEG E :3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 4.0-6.0 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80
DEG E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:NE-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 05/10
KTS TO THE S OF 6 DEG N TO E OF 87 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)W OF 92 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 92 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 4 DEG N: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)W OF 93 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)W OF 93 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1) W OF 90 DEG E: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1) W OF 90 DEG E: 6-4 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: E/NE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1) W OF 89 DEG E: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1) W OF 89 DEG E: 6-4 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.0-2.5 MTR (.)
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

Original Message :

WTIN31 DEMS 051019

QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CYCLONIC STORM PAWAN OVER SOUTHWEST
ARABIAN SEA BASED ON 0600 UTC OF 5TH
DECEMBER, 2019 FOR WHICH FORECAST IS PREPARED:


PRESENT DATE AND TIME: 050600 UTC

PRESENT POSITION: 09.50N/56.30E

POSITION ACCURATE TO 20 KM

PRESENT MOVEMENT (DDD/FF) PAST SIX HOURS: 340/03KT

PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 35 KT, GUSTS 45 KT

RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND 030 KM
WINDS VARY IN EACH QUADRANT

RADII ARE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THE QUADRANT

WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY



RADIUS OF 027 KT WINDS:

160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:

090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT



FORECASTS:

06 HRS, VALID AT:

051200Z 09.5ON /55.4OE

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 40KT, GUSTS 50KT

RADIUS OF 027 KT WINDS:

160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:

090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT



12 HRS, VALID AT:

051800Z 09.20N /54.50 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 40KT, GUSTS 50KT

RADIUS OF 027 KT WINDS:

160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:

090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT





18 HRS, VALID AT:

060000Z 08.80N /53.60 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 35KT, GUSTS 45KT

RADIUS OF 027 KT WINDS:

160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:

090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT



24 HRS, VALID AT:

060600Z 08.40N /52.70 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 30KT, GUSTS 40KT

RADIUS OF 027 KT WINDS:

160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT



36HRS, VALID AT:

061800Z 07.80N /51.00 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 25KT, GUSTS 35KT



48 HRS, VALID AT:

070600Z 07.20N /49.00 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 20KT, GUSTS 30KT



60 HRS, VALID AT:

071800Z 06.60N /47.20 E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 15KT, GUSTS 25KT=

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205081458
2019120506 06A PAWAN 010 01 280 07 SATL 050
T000 095N 0559E 040 R034 135 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 093N 0543E 040 R034 100 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 086N 0525E 035 R034 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 079N 0505E 035 R034 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 072N 0484E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 55.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 55.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.3N 54.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205081458
2019120506 06A PAWAN 010 01 280 07 SATL 050
T000 095N 0559E 040 R034 135 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 093N 0543E 040 R034 100 NE QD 010 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 086N 0525E 035 R034 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 079N 0505E 035 R034 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 072N 0484E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 55.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 55.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.3N 54.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.6N 52.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.9N 50.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 7.2N 48.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 9.5N 55.5E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 462
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 050600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z,
060300Z AND 060900Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 89N 570E 40
0619120500 94N 566E 40
0619120506 95N 559E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 55.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 55.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.3N 54.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.6N 52.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 7.9N 50.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 7.2N 48.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
050900Z POSITION NEAR 9.5N 55.5E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (PAWAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 462
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO
AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION
DISPLACED TO THE NORTH. A 050449Z ASCAT-A IMAGE DEPICTS A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH 35-40KT WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE LLC AND LENDS
HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF
40KTS IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY ABOVE A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35KTS) BASED ON THE PRESENCE OF 35-40KT WINDS IN
THE ASCAT IMAGE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS
WITH MODERATE (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (27-28C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SS) AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 06A IS
TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST. AS THIS STR TRACKS WESTWARD TOWARDS
OMAN A SECOND RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING
MECHANISM AND WILL BEGIN TO DRIVE TC PAWAN WEST-SOUTHWEST STARTING
AT TAU 12. DURING THIS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THE SYSTEM WILL
EXPERIENCE COOLER SST AND BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER AT TAU 36. TC
PAWAN WILL THEN MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL SOMALIA WHERE IT WILL
DISSIPATE BY TAU 48 DUE TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF LAND. DYNAMIC
MODELS GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT AND THEREFORE THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z,
060300Z AND 060900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (PAWAN) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 9.5N 55.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N 55.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.3N 54.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.6N 52.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205014352
2019120500 06A SIX 009 01 325 10 SATL 060
T000 096N 0562E 040 R034 135 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 099N 0548E 040 R034 090 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 094N 0531E 040 R034 090 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 087N 0513E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 080N 0496E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 9.6N 56.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 56.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.9N 54.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 9.6N 56.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 56.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.9N 54.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 9.4N 53.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 050300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191205014352
2019120500 06A SIX 009 01 325 10 SATL 060
T000 096N 0562E 040 R034 135 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 099N 0548E 040 R034 090 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 094N 0531E 040 R034 090 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 087N 0513E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 080N 0496E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 9.6N 56.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 56.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.9N 54.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 9.4N 53.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.7N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 8.0N 49.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 55.8E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
461 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z,
052100Z AND 060300Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 88N 568E 40
0619120500 96N 562E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 9.6N 56.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 56.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.9N 54.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 9.4N 53.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.7N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 8.0N 49.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 55.8E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
461 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 042146Z
89GHZ GMI MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS A DEFINED LLCC. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS HEDGED BETWEEN A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND AN OLDER 041726Z
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 47 KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS NEUTRAL TO
UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO 25 KNOTS). HOWEVER, THERE IS
A ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
FAVORABLE, NEAR 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 06A IS TRACKING WESTWARD
WHILE POSITIONED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. AS THAT STR EXTENDS WESTWARD A
SECOND STR TO THE NORTHWEST WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE
AND CAUSE TC 06A TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE TC 06A TO
STEADILY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY AND DISSIPATE TO 30 KNOTS BY TAU 48.
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z,
052100Z AND 060300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 042100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204204946
2019120418 06A SIX 008 02 330 08 SATL 045
T000 088N 0568E 040 R034 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 092N 0558E 040 R034 100 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 091N 0544E 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 087N 0527E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 080N 0508E 035 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 066N 0470E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 8.8N 56.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 56.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 9.2N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 042100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 8.8N 56.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 56.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 9.2N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.1N 54.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 042100
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204204946
2019120418 06A SIX 008 02 330 08 SATL 045
T000 088N 0568E 040 R034 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 092N 0558E 040 R034 100 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 091N 0544E 040 R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 087N 0527E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 080N 0508E 035 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 066N 0470E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 8.8N 56.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 56.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 9.2N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.1N 54.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.7N 52.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 8.0N 50.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 6.6N 47.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 56.5E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 832 NM
EAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 81N 572E 40
0619120418 88N 568E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 8.8N 56.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N 56.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 9.2N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 9.1N 54.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.7N 52.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 8.0N 50.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 6.6N 47.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 56.5E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 832
NM EAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW LEVEL TURNING UNDERNEATH AN
EXPANDING CIRRUS SHIELD. BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED EIR IMAGERY AND
AN EXTRAPOLATION OF A 041455Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, THERE IS
FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
SET AT 40 KTS BETWEEN A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
T2.5 (35 KTS), A 041500Z ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T2.9
(43 KTS), AND A 041204Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 46 KTS WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE. TC 06A IS SUPPORTED BY CONTINUED GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW,
WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE (15-20
KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TC 06A HAS TRANSITED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS WHILE THERE WAS A BREAK IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. IN THE NEAR TERM, THE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD. AS THE STR BEGINS TO DRIVE THE
STEERING OF TC 06A, TC 06A WILL THE STR WILL CAUSE TC 06A TO TURN TO
A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK PRIOR TO DISSIPATION AND LANDFALL. ALL
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK FORECAST WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF NAVGEM WHICH REMAINS A NORTHERLY OUTLIER. THUS, THE FORECAST
TRACK IS PLACED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS WITH
FAIR CONFIDENCE TO OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF NAVGEM. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A
(SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 041500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204131440
2019120412 06A SIX 007 02 330 09 SATL 045
T000 082N 0572E 035 R034 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 088N 0565E 040 R034 085 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 090N 0554E 040 R034 100 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 088N 0539E 040 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 083N 0522E 035 R034 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 070N 0485E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 8.2N 57.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 57.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 041500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 8.2N 57.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 57.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.0N 55.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 041500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204131440
2019120412 06A SIX 007 02 330 09 SATL 045
T000 082N 0572E 035 R034 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 088N 0565E 040 R034 085 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 090N 0554E 040 R034 100 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 088N 0539E 040 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 083N 0522E 035 R034 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 070N 0485E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 8.2N 57.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 57.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.0N 55.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.8N 53.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.3N 52.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 7.0N 48.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 8.4N 57.0E.
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
0619120412 82N 572E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z --- NEAR 8.2N 57.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 57.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 9.0N 55.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.8N 53.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 8.3N 52.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 7.0N 48.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 8.4N 57.0E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 864 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A THIN CIRRUS SHIELD THAT IS OBSCURING THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION BASED ON BANDING FEATURES IN A 040952Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KTS). GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ARE BEING OFFSET
BY STRONG (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) TO MAKE THE ENVIRONMENT
MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE. TC 06A APPEARED TO ACCELERATE WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, SUGGESTING A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE NORTH HAS BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM. OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, THE STR WILL CAUSE TC 06A TO TURN ONTO A WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL AND
DISSIPATING. THE FORECAST INTENSITY REFLECTS THE POSSIBILITY THE
SYSTEM COULD INTENSITY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOMALIA
PRIOR TO TAU 72. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, WHICH SHOWS A TURN
NORTHWESTWARD AFTER TAU 48, NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR
AGREEMENT. THE TRACK FORECAST IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF CONSENSUS TO
OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF THE NAVGEM TRACK WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A
(SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204081501
2019120406 06A SIX 006 02 360 02 SATL 045
T000 074N 0577E 035 R034 000 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 080N 0572E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 083N 0563E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 084N 0551E 040 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 080N 0535E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 067N 0498E 025
T096 060N 0466E 015
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 7.4N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 8.0N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 7.4N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 8.0N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 8.3N 56.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204081501
2019120406 06A SIX 006 02 360 02 SATL 045
T000 074N 0577E 035 R034 000 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 080N 0572E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 083N 0563E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 084N 0551E 040 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 080N 0535E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 067N 0498E 025
T096 060N 0466E 015
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 7.4N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 8.0N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 8.3N 56.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 8.4N 55.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.0N 53.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.7N 49.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 6.0N 46.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 7.5N 57.6E.
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
0619120406 74N 577E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 7.4N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 8.0N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 8.3N 56.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 8.4N 55.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 8.0N 53.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.7N 49.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 6.0N 46.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 7.5N 57.6E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 905 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TWO AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY. BANDING FEATURES IN A 040509Z AMSU 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE SUPPORT THE INITIAL POSITION WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 35 KTS ALIGNS WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KTS). STRONG (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
OFFSETTING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE TO HAMPER INTENSIFICATION. TC 06A IS TRACKING SLOWLY
POLEWARD TOWARDS A BREAK IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. BY
TAU 24, THE STR BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST AND TC 06A IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN TURNING TOWARD A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. AS THE TC APPROACHES
SOMALIA, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE BEFORE COOL SST AND
DIMINISHED OUTFLOW SHOULD CAUSE THE INTENSITY TO WEAKEN BELOW 35 KTS
PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, WHICH SHOWS A TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER TAU 24, NUMERICAL MODELS DEPICT A TRACK SIMILAR TO
THE FORECAST TRACK WITH MOST OF THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE CAUSED BY
DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING OF THE WESTWARD TURN. THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK IS HEDGED SOUTH OF CONSENSUS TO OFFSET THE IMPACT FROM NAVGEM
WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND 050900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A (SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204020348
2019120400 06A SIX 005 02 045 01 SATL 050
T000 072N 0577E 035 R034 000 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 078N 0573E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 082N 0566E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 083N 0556E 040 R034 070 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 082N 0541E 040 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 071N 0507E 035
T096 058N 0463E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.8N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.8N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.2N 56.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 040300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191204020348
2019120400 06A SIX 005 02 045 01 SATL 050
T000 072N 0577E 035 R034 000 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 078N 0573E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 082N 0566E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 083N 0556E 040 R034 070 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 082N 0541E 040 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 071N 0507E 035
T096 058N 0463E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.8N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.2N 56.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 8.3N 55.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.2N 54.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 7.1N 50.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 5.8N 46.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 57.6E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 909 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
0619120400 72N 577E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 7.2N 57.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N 57.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.8N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.2N 56.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 8.3N 55.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.2N 54.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 7.1N 50.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 5.8N 46.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 57.6E.
04DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 909 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST IS CURRENTLY
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE IS POOR
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON A 032344Z SSMIS 91GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING POSSIBLE BANDING TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS CONSISTENT WITH A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND A 040015Z ADVANCED DVORAK
TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS OFFSETTING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, HAMPERING INTENSIFICATION. TC 06A IS
TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD, TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE NORTH. THE TRACK WILL SLOWLY TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS
A SECOND STR BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH LANDFALL EXPECTED
AFTER TAU 72 OVER SOMALIA. MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL
LIMIT INTENSIFICATION TO 40 KTS AND MAY WEAKEN FASTER THAN EXPECTED
AFTER TAU 48. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY
TAU 96 AS IT MOVES OVER THE DRY HORN OF AFRICA. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES IN THE RATE OF
TURNING AS THE STR BUILDS TO THE NORTH, ACCOUNTING FOR MUCH OF THE
SPREAD. FOR THAT REASON, THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS CONSENSUS
WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS
11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A (SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 032100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203195647
2019120318 06A SIX 004 02 045 01 SATL 050
T000 071N 0576E 035 R034 000 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 075N 0572E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 079N 0567E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 040 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 081N 0558E 040 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 079N 0536E 040 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 069N 0508E 035 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 061N 0469E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 7.1N 57.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 57.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.5N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 032100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 7.1N 57.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 57.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.5N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 7.9N 56.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 032100
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203195647
2019120318 06A SIX 004 02 045 01 SATL 050
T000 071N 0576E 035 R034 000 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 075N 0572E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 079N 0567E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 040 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 081N 0558E 040 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 079N 0536E 040 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 069N 0508E 035 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 061N 0469E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 7.1N 57.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 57.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.5N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 7.9N 56.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 8.1N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 7.9N 53.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 6.9N 50.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 6.1N 46.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 7.2N 57.5E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 905 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
0619120318 71N 576E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 7.1N 57.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 57.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.5N 57.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 7.9N 56.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 8.1N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 7.9N 53.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 6.9N 50.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 6.1N 46.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 7.2N 57.5E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 905 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST IS CURRENTLY OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON A 1714Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWING AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF 30-35 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND A 031747Z SATCON OF 37 KNOTS. MODERATE (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OFFSETTING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, HAMPERING INTENSIFICATION. TC 06A IS TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD, TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. THE TRACK WILL SLOWLY TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS A SECOND STR BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT INTENSIFICATION TO 40 KTS. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED AFTER TAU 72. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY TAU 96 AS IT MOVES OVER THE HORN OF AFRICA. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES IN THE RATE OF TURNING AS THE STR BUILDS TO THE NORTH, ACCOUNTING FOR MUCH OF THE SPREAD. FOR THAT REASON, THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS CONSENSUS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A (SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 031500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203132711
2019120312 06A SIX 003 02 045 03 SATL 030
T000 070N 0575E 035 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 073N 0573E 035 R034 065 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 077N 0569E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 081N 0561E 040 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 081N 0547E 040 R034 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 071N 0513E 040 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 062N 0476E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 7.0N 57.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 57.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 031500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 7.0N 57.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 57.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.7N 56.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 031500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203132711
2019120312 06A SIX 003 02 045 03 SATL 030
T000 070N 0575E 035 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 073N 0573E 035 R034 065 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 077N 0569E 035 R034 080 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 081N 0561E 040 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 081N 0547E 040 R034 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 071N 0513E 040 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T096 062N 0476E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 7.0N 57.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 57.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.7N 56.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.1N 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 8.1N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.1N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.2N 47.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 7.1N 57.4E.
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 573E 30
0619120300 64N 573E 35
0619120306 68N 573E 35
0619120312 70N 575E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 7.0N 57.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 57.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 57.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.7N 56.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.1N 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 8.1N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 7.1N 51.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 6.2N 47.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 7.1N 57.4E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 784
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MOGADISHU, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION BASED ON A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) IN ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KTS). STRONG (20-30 KT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS OFFSETTING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, HAMPERING INTENSIFICATION. TC 06A IS
TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD, TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE NORTH. THE TRACK WILL SLOWLY TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS
THE STR BUILDS BACK IN TO THE NORTH. MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT INTENSIFICATION TO 40 KTS AT LANDFALL, AFTER
TAU 72. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY TAU
96. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES
IN THE RATE OF TURNING AS THE STR BUILDS TO THE NORTH, ACCOUNTING
FOR MUCH OF THE SPREAD. FOR THAT REASON, THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST
FOLLOWS CONSENSUS WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z,
040900Z AND 041500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A (SEVEN) WARNINGS
(WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203075302
2019120306 06A SIX 002 01 335 02 SATL 060
T000 065N 0566E 035 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 068N 0565E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 071N 0562E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 075N 0557E 040 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 078N 0546E 040 R034 070 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 071N 0511E 040 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 060N 0470E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 6.5N 56.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 56.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 6.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 6.5N 56.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 56.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 6.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.1N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203075302
2019120306 06A SIX 002 01 335 02 SATL 060
T000 065N 0566E 035 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 068N 0565E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 071N 0562E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 075N 0557E 040 R034 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 078N 0546E 040 R034 070 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 071N 0511E 040 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 060N 0470E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 6.5N 56.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 56.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 6.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.1N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 7.5N 55.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 7.8N 54.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.1N 51.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.0N 47.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 56.6E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 783 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 60N 569E 30
0619120300 63N 567E 35
0619120306 65N 566E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 6.5N 56.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 56.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 6.8N 56.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 7.1N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 7.5N 55.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 7.8N 54.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 7.1N 51.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 6.0N 47.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 56.6E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 783 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS POOR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION, PLACED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IN
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35
KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
T2.5 (35 KTS). STRONG (20-30 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OFFSETTING
GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE
TO HAMPER INTENSIFICATION. TC 06A IS TRACKING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD,
EQUATORWARD OF A WEAKNESS IN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
THE TRACK WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS TC 06A MOVES AWAY
FROM THE WEAKNESS IN THE STR AND BEGINS TRACKING ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WESTERN EXTENSION OF THE STR. THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO HAMPER SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION AND
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL OVER DJIBOUTI AFTER TAU 72
WITH AN INTENSITY OF ABOUT 40 KTS. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM
SHOULD WEAKEN TO 25 KTS BY TAU 96. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE UKMET
ENSEMBLE MEAN, ALL THE NUMERICAL MODEL AIDS SHOW SIMILAR TRACKS TO THE
JTWC TRACK WITH MUCH OF THE DIFFERENCE LIKELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE HIGH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION. BASED ON SPREAD BEING OVER 360 NM
AT TAU 96, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203015537
2019120300 06A SIX 001 01 300 10 SATL 050
T000 066N 0561E 035 R034 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 069N 0562E 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 073N 0561E 040 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 077N 0557E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 081N 0549E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 082N 0515E 040 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 066N 0466E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 6.6N 56.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 56.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 6.9N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020851ZDEC19//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 6.6N 56.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 56.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 6.9N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06A NIO 191203015537
2019120300 06A SIX 001 01 300 10 SATL 050
T000 066N 0561E 035 R034 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 069N 0562E 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 073N 0561E 040 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 077N 0557E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 081N 0549E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 082N 0515E 040 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 066N 0466E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 6.6N 56.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 56.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 6.9N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.7N 55.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.1N 54.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.2N 51.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.6N 46.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 56.1E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 754 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
//
0619120118 50N 569E 25
0619120200 52N 570E 25
0619120206 54N 570E 30
0619120212 56N 570E 30
0619120218 61N 570E 30
0619120300 66N 561E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020851ZDEC19//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 6.6N 56.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 56.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 6.9N 56.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 7.3N 56.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 7.7N 55.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 8.1N 54.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 8.2N 51.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 6.6N 46.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 6.7N 56.1E.
03DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 754
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH CENTRAL
DENSE OVERCAST OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE LOW LEVEL BANDING SEEN IN THE
030058Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS)
FROM PGTW. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA
OF LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) WITH SOLID POLEWARD
OUTFLOW SLIGHTLY OFFSET TO THE NORTHWEST. ADDITIONALLY, SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE ARABIAN SEA ARE VERY CONDUCIVE AT 28-30 DEGREES
CELSIUS. TC 06A IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) SITUATED TO THE NORTHEAST.
THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWARD
BEFORE TURNING WESTWARD OVER THE HORN OF AFRICA AS THE STEERING IS
TRANSFERRED TO ANOTHER STR POSITIONED OVER NORTHERN AFRICA. TC 06A
IS EXPECTED TO BE HAMPERED BY SHEAR BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL AFTER TAU
72. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED AT TAU 96 DUE TO FRICTIONAL EFFECTS AND
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN POOR
AGREEMENT, WITH A TRACK SPREAD OF OVER 666 NM BY TAU 96. GIVEN THE
FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE CYCLONE AND THE SIGNIFICANT SPREAD IN THE
LONG TERM, THERE IS OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 020900).//
NNNN

>