Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 08 Mar 2022 16:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
1 min - 10 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	179 km/h (1-min*)
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (11 Mar 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2022 16:00 - 12 Mar 2022 04:00 in Mozambique
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (1-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	179 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	179 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (1-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	158	1.3 million	110 thousand	Mozambique
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	74	630 thousand	No people	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	74	340 thousand	No people	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	169	4.2 million	400 thousand	Mozambique
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	179	5.3 million	200 thousand	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (1-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	15000 people	Tropical Depression	56	-15.5, 51.7
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	630000 people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-15.7, 51
3	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	340000 people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-15.5, 50.1	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	570000 people	Overland Depression	56	-15.3, 49.4	Madagascar
5	08 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Overland Depression	37	-14.9, 48.3	Madagascar
5	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Overland Depression	56	-14.8, 47.3	Madagascar
5	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-14.8, 46.1
5	10 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-15, 44.9
5	10 Mar 2022 16:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-15.2, 43.7
5	11 Mar 2022 04:00	Category 1	148	22000 people	960000 people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-15.4, 42.5
5	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Category 3	179	200000 people	3.7 million people	Tropical Cyclone	157	-15.5, 41.1
5	12 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-15.4, 39.6	Mozambique
5	12 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	2.4 million people	Overland Depression	56	-15.3, 38.8	Mozambique
5	13 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	3.1 million people	Overland Depression	56	-15.5, 38.7	Mozambique
5	13 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Overland Depression	56	-16.1, 39.2	Mozambique

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nampula	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (90 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 08 Mar 2022 16:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Barroa	Mozambique	0.7
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 21:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.4
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 21:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 21:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 17:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 17:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Berafia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 04:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Tsianinkiro	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 05:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Ambodiadabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Androlavy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min