Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22
in Madagascar
12 Mar 2022 10 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population 680 thousand in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (11 Mar 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
10 Mar 2022 22:00 - 11 Mar 2022 04:00
in Mozambique
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 46 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 167 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
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Wind

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Orange 1 07 Mar 2022 16:00 139 1.3 million 110 thousand Mozambique
Green 2 07 Mar 2022 22:00 65 630 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 3 08 Mar 2022 04:00 65 340 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 4 08 Mar 2022 10:00 148 3.8 million 400 thousand Mozambique
Orange 5 08 Mar 2022 16:00 157 4.6 million 200 thousand Mozambique
Orange 6 08 Mar 2022 22:00 167 4.5 million 380 thousand Mozambique
Orange 7 09 Mar 2022 04:00 167 3.5 million 510 thousand Mozambique
Red 8 09 Mar 2022 10:00 185 4.6 million 200 thousand Mozambique
Red 9 09 Mar 2022 16:00 185 4.1 million 170 thousand Mozambique
Red 10 09 Mar 2022 22:00 157 3.5 million 1.2 million Mozambique
Orange 11 10 Mar 2022 04:00 176 4.3 million 110 thousand Mozambique
Orange 12 10 Mar 2022 10:00 167 3.9 million 870 thousand Mozambique
Orange 13 10 Mar 2022 16:00 167 1.8 million 480 thousand Mozambique
Red 14 10 Mar 2022 22:00 167 5.7 million 1.8 million Mozambique
Red 15 11 Mar 2022 04:00 120 5 million 1.3 million Mozambique
Green 16 11 Mar 2022 10:00 111 5 million 220 thousand Mozambique
Green 17 11 Mar 2022 16:00 74 5.1 million 400 thousand Mozambique
Green 18 11 Mar 2022 22:00 74 5.2 million 680 thousand Mozambique
Green 19 12 Mar 2022 04:00 83 5.2 million 680 thousand Mozambique
Green 20 12 Mar 2022 10:00 46 5.2 million 680 thousand Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS) 		Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher 		Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher 		Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 07 Mar 2022 16:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 15000 people -15.5, 51.7
GREEN
 2 07 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 630000 people -15.7, 51
GREEN
 3 08 Mar 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 340000 people -15.5, 50.1 Madagascar
GREEN
 4 08 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.3, 49.4 Madagascar
GREEN
 5 08 Mar 2022 16:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -14.9, 48.3 Madagascar
GREEN
 6 08 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 20000 people -14.9, 47.6 Madagascar
GREEN
 7 09 Mar 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14.9, 46.8
GREEN
 8 09 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -14.8, 46
GREEN
 9 09 Mar 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.2, 45.3
GREEN
 10 09 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.4, 44.3
GREEN
 11 10 Mar 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -15.4, 43.5
GREEN
 12 10 Mar 2022 10:00 Category 1 120 no people 200000 people -15.7, 42.8
GREEN
 13 10 Mar 2022 16:00 Category 1 130 17000 people 820000 people -15.8, 42
ORANGE
 14 10 Mar 2022 22:00 Category 1 139 410000 people 4.4 million people -15.6, 41.3
ORANGE
 15 11 Mar 2022 04:00 Category 2 167 340000 people 3.8 million people -15.4, 40.6 Mozambique
GREEN
 16 11 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 4.6 million people -15.2, 39.7 Mozambique
GREEN
 17 11 Mar 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.7 million people -15.2, 39.2 Mozambique
GREEN
 18 11 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -15.2, 38.6 Mozambique
GREEN
 19 12 Mar 2022 04:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -15.2, 38.2 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 12 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -15.4, 37 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 12 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -15.7, 36.1 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 13 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -16, 35.3 Malawi, Mozambique
GREEN
 20 13 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -16.8, 35.1 Malawi, Mozambique
GREEN
 20 14 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -17.5, 36 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 16 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -17.1, 38 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 16 Mar 2022 22:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -16.9, 37.5 Mozambique
GREEN
 20 17 Mar 2022 10:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -16.9, 36.8 Mozambique
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zambezia Mozambique
Nampula Mozambique
Cabo Delgado Mozambique
Mahajanga Madagascar
Toamasina Madagascar
Antsiranana Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Nampula Nampula Mozambique City 380000 people
Moçambique Mozambique Major city 48000 people
Nacala Nampula Mozambique City 220000 people
Maroantsetra Toamasina Madagascar City 24000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Nampula APL 444 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Angoche ANO 36 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Lumbo 10 Civ. Paved No 4900
Nacala MNC 125 Mil. Paved No 8200
Maroantsetra WMN 4 Civ. Paved No 4200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Angoche MZANO Mozambique
Quinga Mozambique
Mocambique MZMZQ Mozambique
Memba MZMEM Mozambique
Mozambique MZMZQ Mozambique
Nacala MZMNC Mozambique
Maroantsetra MGWMN Madagascar

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Nacala Moecula 1971
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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 18 of 11 Mar 2022 22:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Mar 2022 05:00 Barroa Mozambique  0.8
11 Mar 2022 05:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.8
11 Mar 2022 05:00 Terrene Mozambique  0.7
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Ali Mozambique  0.5
11 Mar 2022 06:00 Metopa Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Antantiloky Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.4
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.3
08 Mar 2022 05:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2022 11:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.3
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Lumbo Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2022 07:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2022 06:00 Metula Mozambique  0.3
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Namacoto Mozambique  0.3
08 Mar 2022 07:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
08 Mar 2022 05:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Amado Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 12:00 Namuali Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
08 Mar 2022 07:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2022 04:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.2
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Mossuril Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Larde Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 15:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
08 Mar 2022 05:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 05:00 Calajulo Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 06:00 Momade Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 13:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 07:00 Cabaceira Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Mocambique Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 05:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 01:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 06:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 04:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 00:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Lunga Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 02:00 Matibane Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 05:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 02:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 05:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 05:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
08 Mar 2022 23:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 10:00 Injaca Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Sanhute Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 04:00 Miaola Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 16:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 17:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 02:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2022 01:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2022 14:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1