Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CIMARON-18 in Japan from 17 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC to 21 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CIMARON-18

in Japan

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CIMARON-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	25.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (21 Aug 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 19.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	17 Aug 2018 18:00	194	3 thousand	No people
2	18 Aug 2018 00:00	176	30 thousand	Few people	Japan
3	18 Aug 2018 06:00	176	4.7 million	Few people	Japan
4	18 Aug 2018 12:00	176	28.7 million	Few people	Japan
5	18 Aug 2018 18:00	157	49.6 million	4.5 million	Japan
6	19 Aug 2018 00:00	139	55.6 million	20.5 million	Japan
7	19 Aug 2018 06:00	139	54.9 million	20.2 million	Japan
8	19 Aug 2018 12:00	148	59.5 million	23.1 million	Japan
9	19 Aug 2018 18:00	148	70.4 million	15 million	Japan
10	20 Aug 2018 00:00	157	67.6 million	19.9 million	Japan
11	20 Aug 2018 06:00	148	64.7 million	23.5 million	Japan
12	20 Aug 2018 12:00	157	76.5 million	23.9 million	Japan
13	20 Aug 2018 18:00	157	70.4 million	24.2 million	Japan
14	21 Aug 2018 00:00	157	68.3 million	23.6 million	Japan
15	21 Aug 2018 06:00	157	100.6 million	26.4 million	Japan
16	21 Aug 2018 12:00	167	68.6 million	27.5 million	Japan
17	21 Aug 2018 18:00	185	67.9 million	19.2 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	17 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	13.3, 155.7
2	18 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, 154.7
3	18 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.3, 154.1
4	18 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.4, 153.2
5	18 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	14.6, 152.4
6	19 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.2, 152.1
7	19 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, 151.1
8	19 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16, 150.5
9	19 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	49000 people	16.7, 149.5	Northern Mariana Islands
10	20 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	49000 people	17, 148.9	Northern Mariana Islands
11	20 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.8, 147.8
12	20 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	18.6, 147.5
13	20 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19.5, 146.2
14	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	20, 145.1
15	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	2800 people	21.2, 144
16	21 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	2800 people	22, 142.8
17	21 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	2800 people	23, 141.3
17	22 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	2800 people	25.5, 138.6
17	22 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	34.2 million people	28.3, 136.3	Japan
17	23 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	19.2 million people	57.1 million people	31.9, 134.8	Japan
17	23 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	640000 people	58.1 million people	35.9, 134.6	Japan
17	24 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.8 million people	42.7, 138.2	Japan
17	25 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	43.5, 148.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kinki	Japan
Chubu	Japan
Shikoku	Japan
Chugoku	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Kushimoto	Wakayama	Japan	City	-
Tanabe	Wakayama	Japan	City	69000 people
Koyasan	Wakayama	Japan	City	-
Kainan	Wakayama	Japan	City	43000 people
Wakayama	Wakayama	Japan	Major city	370000 people
Tondabayashi	Osaka	Japan	City	130000 people
Fuke	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Tokushima	Tokushima	Japan	Major city	260000 people
Izumi-Sano	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Izumi	Osaka	Japan	City	190000 people
Kishiwada	Osaka	Japan	City	200000 people
Sumoto	Hyogo	Japan	City	39000 people
Osaka	Osaka	Japan	Major city	2.6 million people
Higashiosaka	Osaka	Japan	City	520000 people
Toyonaka	Osaka	Japan	City	380000 people
Suita	Osaka	Japan	City	350000 people
Ikeda	Tokushima	Japan	City	16000 people
Akutagawa	Osaka	Japan	City	-
Kobe	Hyogo	Japan	Major city	1.5 million people
Ikeda	Hyogo	Japan	City	99000 people
Akashi	Hyogo	Japan	City	290000 people
Uchinomi	Kagawa	Japan	City	-
Takamatsu	Kagawa	Japan	Major city	330000 people
Sanda	Hyogo	Japan	City	130000 people
Miki	Hyogo	Japan	City	74000 people
Sakaide	Kagawa	Japan	City	56000 people
Maragume	Kagawa	Japan	City	-
Kakogawa	Hyogo	Japan	City	270000 people
Takasago	Hyogo	Japan	City	94000 people
Himeji	Hyogo	Japan	City	480000 people
Uno	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Sasayama	Hyogo	Japan	City	46000 people
Ajino	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Ako	Hyogo	Japan	City	52000 people
Saidaiji	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Tamashima	Okayama	Japan	City	-
Okayama	Okayama	Japan	Major city	640000 people
Kurashiki	Okayama	Japan	City	430000 people
Fukuchiyama	Kyoto	Japan	City	69000 people
Higashi-maizuru	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Maizuru	Kyoto	Japan	City	92000 people
Tsuyama	Okayama	Japan	City	89000 people
Iwataki	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Izushi	Hyogo	Japan	City	-
Amino	Kyoto	Japan	City	-
Kasumi	Hyogo	Japan	City	-
Tottori	Tottori	Japan	Major city	150000 people
Kurayoshi	Tottori	Japan	City	48000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Kushimoto-Katsuura	KUJ	unknown				0
Nanki Shirahama	SHM	105	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Kochi	KCZ	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Shinodayama		15				0
Tokushima	TKS	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Kansai International	KIX	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11400
Yao		12	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Kobe	UKB	unknown				0
Osaka Itami International	ITM	15	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Takamatsu	TAK	185	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
		21				0
Kohnan		1	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Okayama	OKJ	245	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Nihonbara		240				0
Tajima	TJH	177	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900
Tottori	TTJ	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Minami Lo		Japan
Farallon de Pajaros		Japan
Kushimoto		Japan
Tanabe	JPTAE	Japan
Muroto		Japan
Sakihama		Japan
None		Japan
Yura	JPYUR	Japan
Hiwasi		Japan
Tomoura		Japan
Yasuda		Japan
Tachibana		Japan
Shimotsu	JPSMT	Japan
Aki		Japan
Kainan	JPKAI	Japan
Anan	JPANA	Japan
Wakayama	JPHIK	Japan
Komatsushima	JPKOM	Japan
Tokushima	JPTKS	Japan
Izumisano	JPIZS	Japan
Hannan Ko		Japan
Naruto	JPNRU	Japan
Sakai	JPSAK	Japan
Fukura		Japan
Sumoto		Japan
Hannan (Kishiwada)	JPHAN	Japan
Shizuki		Japan
Hiketa		Japan
Amagasaki	JPAMA	Japan
Nishinomiya	JPNYA	Japan
Kobe	JPUKB	Japan
Shido		Japan
Higashi-Harima		Japan
Takamatsu	JPTAK	Japan
Takasago	JPTSG	Japan
Marugame	JPMAR	Japan
Sakaide	JPSKD	Japan
Takuma	JPTKM	Japan
Himeji	JPHIM	Japan
Hirohata	JPHRH	Japan
Shikama	JPHRH	Japan
Aboshi	JPABO	Japan
Hibi	JPHIB	Japan
Naoshima	JPNAS	Japan
Uno	JPUNO	Japan
Aioi	JPAIO	Japan
Okayama	JPOKJ	Japan
Mizushima	JPMIZ	Japan
Maizuru	JPMAI	Japan
Uchiura	JPUCR	Japan
Maizuru Ko		Japan
Miyazu	JPMIY	Japan
Tsuiyama	JPTYM	Japan
Kasumi		Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Futagawa	Futagawa	Aritagawa	1966
Hiranabe	Hiranabe	Naharigawa	1960
Yanasechosuichi	Yanase	Naharigawa	1970
Nagayasuguchichosuichi	Nagayasuguchi	Nakagawa	1955
Takihata	Takihata	Ishikawa	1981
Horigo	Horigo	Horigogawa	1969
Komyoike	Komyoike	Makiogawa	1936
Okumononobeko	Nagase	Mononobegawa	1956
Sayamaike	Sayamaike	Nishiyokegawa	2001
Onoike	Onoike	Makiogawa	1940
Ananaigawa	Ananaigawa	Ananaigawa	1963
Matsuogawa	Matsuogawa	Matsuogawa	1953
Ouchi	Ouchi	Tameshimatsugawa	1966
Naibaike	Naiba	Naibagawa	1952
Ishigamiike	Ishigamiike	Nagaogawa	1662
Kinbuchiike	Kinbuchiike	Kasugagawa	1933
Jinnaiike	Jinnaiike	Tenmagawa	1970
Nagarako	Nagara	Ayagawa	2008
Kamekoshiike	Kamekoshiike	Otanigawa	1633
Mannoike	Mannoike	Kanakuragawa	1961
Otaniike	Otaniike	Izekigawa	1470
Kinsenjiko	Maruyama	Funasakagawa	1977
Chimyoko	Hitokura	Hitokuraorojigawa	1983
Tsukuharako	Dondo	Yamadagawa	1989
Iwaseike	Iwaseike	Takasegawa	1592
Kawashimogawa	Kawashimogawa	Kawashimogawa	1977
Niike	Niike	Nakadaisokugawa	1663
Sengarisuigenchi	Sengari	Hazugawa	1919
Fuchuko	Fuchu	Ayagawa	1966
Kakogawaozeki	Kakogawaozeki	Kakogawa	1988
Senjojiko	Aono	Aonogawa	1987
Heisoko	Heisodaiichi	Kakogawa	1966
Gongenike	Gongendaiichi	Gongengawa	1981
Tojoko	Kamogawa	Kamogawa	1951
Segi	Segi	Katsuragawa	1951
Tsubaichi	Tsubaichi	Tsubaichigawa	1971
Ogaike	Ogaike		1661
Ginzanko	Ikuno	Ichikawa	1972
Kurokawa	Kurokawa	Kurokawa	1974
Tataragi	Tataragi	Tataragigawa	1974
Asahikawako	Asahikawa	Asahigawa	1983
Onzuiko	Hikihara	Hikiharagawa	1957
Kuroki	Kuroki	Kuramigawa	1966
Yashiroguchi	Yashiroguchi	Asahigawa	1954
Onbarako	Onbara	Onbaragawa	1928
Yubarako	Yubara	Asahigawa	1954

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2018 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 21 Aug 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2018 22:00	Higashi	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.