Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
11 Mar 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 2 m (14 Mar 23:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 2.0 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 194 km/h 2.0 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 960000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 204 2.9 million 250 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 204 4.3 million 340 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million 1.3 million Mozambique
        Orange 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 213 4.7 million 1.1 million Mozambique
        Orange 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 222 5.2 million 440 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 213 3 million 660 thousand Mozambique
        Red 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 213 8.1 million 580 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
        Red 10 11 Mar 2019 12:00 194 5.3 million 1.1 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
        Red 11 11 Mar 2019 18:00 194 5.9 million 960 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -16.9, 42 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 100000 people -17.2, 42.4 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 69000 people -17.4, 42.6 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 220000 people -17.2, 43 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 310000 people -17.2, 43.2 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 200000 people -17.3, 43.2 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 180000 people -17.3, 43 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 10 11 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 100000 people -17.6, 42.6 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 11 11 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people 120000 people -17.7, 42.5 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 11 12 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 204 no people no people -18.2, 41.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 11 12 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people -18.9, 40.9
          GREEN
          		 11 13 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 4 222 no people 460000 people -19.3, 39.8 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 11 13 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 4 213 71000 people 2.9 million people -19.5, 38.4 Mozambique
          RED
          		 11 14 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 640000 people 4.5 million people -19.4, 36.1 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 11 15 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 570000 people 3.2 million people -18.4, 34.1 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 11 16 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.5, 32.9 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Juan De Nova I.
          Mozambique
          Zimbabwe

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Juan De Nova I. Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Zambezia Mozambique
          Sofala Mozambique
          Tete Mozambique
          Manica Mozambique
          Manicaland Zimbabwe
          Mashonaland East Zimbabwe

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Chinde INE unknown 0
          Inhaminga IMG unknown 0

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Bue Maria Pungoe n/a
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Rupia, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 14 Mar 2019 23:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (132 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 11 Mar 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Rupia Mozambique  2.0
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Machesse Mozambique  1.9
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Bingue Mozambique  1.7
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Jonja Mozambique  1.6
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Tama Mozambique  1.5
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  1.3
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  1.3
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  1.3
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Beira Mozambique  1.3
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Panaca Mozambique  1.2
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  1.2
          14 Mar 2019 15:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  1.1
          14 Mar 2019 15:00 Amado Mozambique  1.1
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Manica Mozambique  1.1
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.9
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.5
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 08:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 23:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 23:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 23:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 00:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 00:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 12:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 12:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 08:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Jo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
          15 Mar 2019 00:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1