Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for IDAI-19 in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands from 09 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19

in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2019-000021-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population	1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (14 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	194 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Mar 2019 06:00	213	6.6 million	870 thousand	Mozambique
2	09 Mar 2019 12:00	213	5.6 million	550 thousand	Mozambique
3	09 Mar 2019 18:00	204	2.9 million	250 thousand	Mozambique
4	10 Mar 2019 00:00	204	4.3 million	340 thousand	Mozambique
5	10 Mar 2019 06:00	213	4.1 million	1.3 million	Mozambique
6	10 Mar 2019 12:00	213	4.7 million	1.1 million	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	110000 people	-17, 40.2	Mozambique
2	09 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-17, 41.3	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
3	09 Mar 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1200 people	-16.9, 42	Madagascar
4	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	100000 people	-17.2, 42.4	Madagascar
5	10 Mar 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	69000 people	-17.4, 42.6	Madagascar
6	10 Mar 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	220000 people	-17.2, 43	Madagascar
6	11 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	220000 people	-17.5, 43.2	Madagascar
6	11 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	140000 people	-17.9, 43	Madagascar
6	12 Mar 2019 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-18.4, 42.3
6	12 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-18.9, 41.3
6	13 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 4	213	no people	440000 people	-19.4, 39.4	Mozambique
6	14 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 4	213	1.2 million people	4.2 million people	-19.6, 36.8	Mozambique
6	15 Mar 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-19.1, 34	Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Sofala	Mozambique
Manica	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Bue Maria	Pungoe	n/a

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 14 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 10 Mar 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Mar 2019 12:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.5
	14 Mar 2019 12:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.5
	14 Mar 2019 12:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Ambatomilahy	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Antsafy	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2019 23:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Manampea	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Onara	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Marovazha	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Belavenoka	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 11:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 12:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 00:00	Tambohorano	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 07:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 17:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 17:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 09:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 11:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 14:00	Belailay	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 15:00	Ankatrafay	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 15:00	Antandrokomby	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2019 18:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Ankoakala	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 19:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2019 15:00	Manomba	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Marofototra	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Voalavo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2019 15:00	Maintirano	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 17:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 19:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 18:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 17:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 19:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 22:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 19:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 19:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Tsilambana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Ambalabao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Bevatry	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 01:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Carramali	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Ampitilova	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 11:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Andranovoribe	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Manampatra	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2019 22:00	Vilamatsa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 10:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 08:00	Bajone	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2019 00:00	Tsianinkiro	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 21:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2019 20:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.