Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
09 Mar 2019 12 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2019-000021-MOZ
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Mar 12:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
    For more info on GDACS core click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 194 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      213 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 550000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Level N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 11000 people -17.1, 41.9 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 11000 people -17.3, 42.4 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 3400 people -17.6, 42.3 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 27000 people -17.9, 41.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 no people 2.1 million people -18.3, 39.9 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 2 13 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 550000 people 5.1 million people -18.8, 37.3 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -19.3, 34.3 Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.