Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 222 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

213 km/h Current

Up to 550000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 100000 people no people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
GREEN
2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
GREEN
2 10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 10000 people no people -17.1, 41.9 Madagascar
GREEN
2 10 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 11000 people no people -17.3, 42.4 Madagascar
GREEN
2 11 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 1 148 3300 people no people -17.6, 42.3 Madagascar
GREEN
2 11 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 26000 people no people -17.9, 41.7 Mozambique
GREEN
2 12 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 2.1 million people no people -18.3, 39.9 Mozambique
ORANGE
2 13 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 4 213 5.1 million people 550000 people -18.8, 37.3 Mozambique
GREEN
2 14 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -19.3, 34.3 Mozambique
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Zambezia Mozambique 3.4 million people
Sofala Mozambique 1.4 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Chinde INE unknown 0 549 km
Luabo LBM unknown 0 569 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Vila Do Chinde Mozambique 537 km
Chinde MZINE Mozambique 543 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Bue Maria Pungoe -99 746 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 13 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (119 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 09 Mar 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.6
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Amado Mozambique  0.6
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Baly Madagascar  0.5
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Beira Mozambique  0.4
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.4
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Barra Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 12:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 10:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 10:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
13 Mar 2019 10:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 07:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 14:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 04:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 13:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 13:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1