Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for BLAKE-20 in Australia from 05 Jan 2020 18:00 UTC to 08 Jan 2020 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for BLAKE-20

in Australia

08 Jan 2020 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLAKE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (06 Jan 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 24000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	05 Jan 2020 18:00	83	50 thousand	No people	Australia
2	06 Jan 2020 00:00	83	30 thousand	No people	Australia
3	06 Jan 2020 06:00	102	40 thousand	No people	Australia
4	06 Jan 2020 12:00	93	30 thousand	No people	Australia
5	06 Jan 2020 18:00	93	30 thousand	No people	Australia
6	07 Jan 2020 00:00	74	30 thousand	No people	Australia
7	07 Jan 2020 06:00	65	30 thousand	No people	Australia
8	07 Jan 2020 12:00	65	20 thousand	No people	Australia
9	07 Jan 2020 18:00	65	20 thousand	No people	Australia
10	08 Jan 2020 00:00	65	20 thousand	No people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	05 Jan 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2900 people	-16, 121.3	Australia
2	06 Jan 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	15000 people	-15.9, 121.9	Australia
3	06 Jan 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	21000 people	-16.5, 122.2	Australia
4	06 Jan 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	22000 people	-17.4, 122	Australia
5	06 Jan 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	22000 people	-17.9, 121.8	Australia
6	07 Jan 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	15000 people	-18.5, 121.6	Australia
7	07 Jan 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	14000 people	-18.7, 121.2	Australia
8	07 Jan 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1200 people	-19.5, 121	Australia
9	07 Jan 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1200 people	-19.8, 120.6	Australia
10	08 Jan 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1500 people	-20.7, 119.7	Australia
10	08 Jan 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-21.9, 119.4	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Western Australia	Australia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Mount Goldsworthy	Western Australia	Australia	City	-
Broome	Western Australia	Australia	City	13000 people
Derby	Western Australia	Australia	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Muccan	MUQ	unknown				0
Shay Gap	SGP	unknown				0
Marble Bar	MBB	unknown				0
Pardoo	PRD	unknown				0
Mt. Goldsworthy	GLY	unknown				0
Shaw River	SWB	unknown				0
Wallal	WLA	unknown				0
Mandora	MQA	unknown				0
Broome	BME	17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Carroll		91	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10000
Derby	DRB	7	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5600

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Lagrange		Coral Sea Islands
Broome	AUBME	Coral Sea Islands
Beagle Bay		Coral Sea Islands
Derby	AUDRB	Coral Sea Islands
Cape Leveque		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi Sound		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi	AUYAM	Coral Sea Islands

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.1m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 06 Jan 2020 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 07 Jan 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	06 Jan 2020 13:00	Derby	Australia	1.1
	06 Jan 2020 10:00	Pender	Australia	0.8
	07 Jan 2020 00:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.7
	06 Jan 2020 23:00	Broome	Australia	0.5
	06 Jan 2020 09:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.5
	06 Jan 2020 22:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.5
	06 Jan 2020 23:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Parap	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Darwin	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 05:00	Bagot	Australia	0.4
	06 Jan 2020 04:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.4
	05 Jan 2020 22:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	08 Jan 2020 06:00	Condon	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.