Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ESTHER-20
in Australia
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTHER-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (24 Feb 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 7700 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 102 6 thousand No people Australia
Green 2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 102 7 thousand No people Australia
Green 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 83 6 thousand No people Australia
Green 4 24 Feb 2020 06:00 93 8 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3100 people -15.5, 139.5 Australia
GREEN
2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3200 people -16.1, 139.1 Australia
GREEN
3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2800 people -16.6, 138.3 Australia
GREEN
4 24 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 4300 people -16.7, 137.4 Australia
GREEN
4 24 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3200 people -16.9, 135.9 Australia
GREEN
4 25 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2400 people -17, 134.4 Australia
GREEN
4 25 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2300 people -16.8, 132.9 Australia
GREEN
4 26 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.5, 131.3 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.