Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20 in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador, from 30 May 2020 21:00 UTC to 31 May 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20

in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,

31 May 2020 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (31 May 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	65 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 8.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	30 May 2020 21:00	56	No people	No people
2	31 May 2020 03:00	56	No people	No people
3	31 May 2020 09:00	65	7 million	No people	Guatemala, El Salvador
4	31 May 2020 15:00	65	8.5 million	No people	Guatemala, El Salvador, Mexico
5	31 May 2020 21:00	46	8.2 million	No people	Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	30 May 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12.3, -91.1
2	31 May 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13, -90.6	El Salvador
3	31 May 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	7 million people	13.8, -90.4	Guatemala
4	31 May 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	7.3 million people	14.7, -90.3	Guatemala
5	31 May 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	16, -90	Guatemala

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Guatemala
Mexico
El Salvador

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Peten	Guatemala
Alta Verapaz	Guatemala
Quiche	Guatemala
Chiapas	Mexico
Izabal	Guatemala
Baja Verapaz	Guatemala
Zacapa	Guatemala
El Progreso	Guatemala
Jalapa	Guatemala
Chiquimula	Guatemala
Guatemala	Guatemala
Chimaltenango	Guatemala
Sacatepequez	Guatemala
Jutiapa	Guatemala
Santa Rosa	Guatemala
Santa Ana	El Salvador
Escuintla	Guatemala
Ahuachapan	El Salvador
Sonsonate	El Salvador

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
El Achiotal	Alta Verapaz	Guatemala	City	-
Cobán	Alta Verapaz	Guatemala	City	46000 people
San Cristóbal Verapaz	Alta Verapaz	Guatemala	City	-
Salamá	Baja Verapaz	Guatemala	City	14000 people
Rabinal	Baja Verapaz	Guatemala	City	11000 people
Jalapa	Jalapa	Guatemala	City	45000 people
Guatemala	Guatemala	Guatemala	Capital	1.7 million people
San José Poaquil	Chimaltenango	Guatemala	City	-
Mixco	Guatemala	Guatemala	City	470000 people
Comalapa	Chimaltenango	Guatemala	City	21000 people
Chimaltenango	Chimaltenango	Guatemala	City	82000 people
Antigua	Sacatepéquez	Guatemala	Major city	21000 people
Amatitlán	Guatemala	Guatemala	City	48000 people
Jutiapa	Jutiapa	Guatemala	City	34000 people
Cuilapa	Santa Rosa	Guatemala	City	16000 people
Escuintla	Escuintla	Guatemala	City	100000 people
Guazacapán	Santa Rosa	Guatemala	City	-
Chalchuapa	Ahuachapan	El Salvador	City	32000 people
Ahuachapán	Ahuachapán	El Salvador	City	33000 people
Obero	Escuintla	Guatemala	City	-
San José	Escuintla	Guatemala	City	19000 people
Sonsonate	Sonsonate	El Salvador	City	59000 people
Acajutla	Sonsonate	El Salvador	City	22000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Inta Northeast		155				0
Rubelsanto	RUV	130				0
Coban	CBV	1323	Civ.	Paved	No	2600
La Aurora	GUA	1509	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
El Naranjo	ENJ	unknown				0
San Jose		9	Civ.	Paved	No	6500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Puerto Quetzail	GTPRQ	Guatemala
San Jose	GTSJO	Guatemala
San Jose	GTSJO	Guatemala
Acajutla	SVAQJ	El Salvador

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Pueblo Viejo	Chixoy	1983

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Agua Dulce, Guatemala. This height is estimated for 31 May 2020 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (90 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 31 May 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	31 May 2020 09:00	Agua Dulce	Guatemala	0.4
	31 May 2020 09:00	Astillero	Guatemala	0.4
	31 May 2020 10:00	San Pedro	Guatemala	0.3
	31 May 2020 08:00	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.3
	31 May 2020 08:00	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.3
	31 May 2020 10:00	Barra de Santiago	El Salvador	0.3
	31 May 2020 08:00	Buenos Aires	El Salvador	0.3
	31 May 2020 10:00	Metalio	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 12:00	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Acajutla	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Los Cobanos	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	El Zapote	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 12:00	Murucagua	Honduras	0.2
	31 May 2020 12:00	La Union	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Acachapa	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 11:00	La Herradura	El Salvador	0.2
	01 Jun 2020 21:00	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jun 2020 21:00	Boca Nueva	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jun 2020 21:00	Paso Real	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2020 10:00	El Pumpo	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2020 10:00	La Avellana	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Canton Pimiental	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 09:00	Corral de Mulas	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 10:00	La Candelaria	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Isla de Mendez	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 09:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	El Nispero	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Hacienda Taquillo	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 16:00	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Papaturro	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	El Sunzal	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	Cangrejera	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 08:00	El Espiritu Santo	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 09:00	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.2
	31 May 2020 15:00	Baranca	Belize	0.2
	31 May 2020 10:00	Iztapa	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 08:00	La Libertad	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.1
	02 Jun 2020 06:00	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jun 2020 06:00	San Pedro	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2020 08:00	San Diego	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	San Juan	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Cocoli	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Balneario El Espino	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Agua	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 11:00	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 11:00	Barrancones	Honduras	0.1
	31 May 2020 11:00	Cedeno	Honduras	0.1
	31 May 2020 10:00	Livingston	Guatemala	0.1
	02 Jun 2020 05:00	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2020 17:00	New Haven	Belize	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Venecia	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	La Barrita	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	San Jose	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	La Periquera	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	El Puente	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	La Chacara	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 10:00	Condega	Honduras	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Cattle Landing	Belize	0.1
	02 Jun 2020 16:00	Chiltepec	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	El Tanque	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 10:00	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Santo Tomas	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Buena Vista	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Macho Creek	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Punta Manabique	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Puerto Barrios	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Cambalache	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Corozo	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	La Graciosa	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Machacal	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	San Francisco del Mar	Guatemala	0.1
	02 Jun 2020 07:00	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2020 16:00	Monkey River	Belize	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Jiquilillo	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Petacaltepe	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 09:00	Aposentillo	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 12:00	Linda Vista	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 12:00	El Realejo	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 12:00	Puerto el Barquito	Nicaragua	0.1
	31 May 2020 10:00	Fatima	Nicaragua	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.