Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20 in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador, from 30 May 2020 21:00 UTC to 31 May 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20

in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

31/05 21:05 WTPN31PHNC312200

31/05 20:38 WTPZ42KNHC312036

31/05 20:37 WTPZ32KNHC312035

31/05 20:36 WTPZ22KNHC312035

31/05 17:33 WTPZ32KNHC311732

31/05 16:04 WTNT82EGRR311603

31/05 16:03 WTNT80EGRR311603

31/05 14:59 WTPN31PHNC311600

31/05 14:40 WTPZ42KNHC311437

31/05 14:38 WTPZ22KNHC311436

31/05 14:38 WTPZ32KNHC311437

31/05 11:46 WTPZ32KNHC311145

31/05 09:39 WTPN31PHNC311000

31/05 08:57 WTPZ42KNHC310854

31/05 08:56 WTPZ32KNHC310854

31/05 08:55 WTPZ22KNHC310853

31/05 05:34 WTPZ32KNHC310533

31/05 02:37 WTPZ42KNHC310234

31/05 02:36 WTPZ22KNHC310234

31/05 02:36 WTPZ32KNHC310234

30/05 23:40 WTPZ32KNHC302338

30/05 20:40 WTPZ42KNHC302038

30/05 20:38 WTPZ22KNHC302036

30/05 20:38 WTPZ32KNHC302037

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 312200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 15.4N 90.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 90.1W
---
REMARKS:
31MAY20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1798 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 312036
TCDEP2

Remnants Of Amanda Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

Amanda has weakened quite quickly over the mountainous terrain of
Guatemala this afternoon. Although a mid-level circulation is
still evident in visible satellite imagery, recent surface
observations suggest that the low-level circulation has dissipated
over Guatemala. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on
this system. The remnants of Amanda are forecast to turn
northwestward later tonight, and could emerge over the southern Bay
of Campeche late Monday or Tuesday where new tropical cyclone
development is possible. Please refer to NHC's Atlantic basin
Tropical Weather Outlooks for more details on possible tropical
cyclone development in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

There have been reports of torrential rainfall from Amanda over
portions of El Salvador and Guatemala during the past 12-24 hours.
Although the system is no longer a tropical cyclone, the larger
cyclonic gyre located over southeastern Mexico is likely to continue
producing heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and
southern Mexico during the next several days. These rains are likely
to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. For additional
information, see products issued by your national meteorological
service and NHC Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlooks.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/2100Z 16.0N 90.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 312035
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Amanda Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...AMANDA DISSIPATES BUT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS
OF EL SALVADOR, GUATEMALA, WESTERN HONDURAS, AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 90.0W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NNE OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Amanda were located near
latitude 16.0 North, longitude 90.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h). The remnants are forecast
to turn northwestward and move over eastern Mexico on Monday and be
near the southern Bay of Campeche late Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h)
with higher gusts. A continued decrease in wind speed is expected
tonight and Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through the middle of the week, the remnants of Amanda are
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over
El Salvador, southern Guatemala, western Honduras, and the Mexican
states of Tabasco and Veracruz. This system is also expected to
produce 5 to 10 inches of rain over northwestern Nicaragua, Belize,
and the Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Chiapas, and
Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 to 25 inches are possible in
El Salvador, southern Guatemala, Tabasco, and Veracruz. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 312035
TCMEP2

REMNANTS OF AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022020
2100 UTC SUN MAY 31 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 90.0W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 90.0W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 90.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 90.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 311732
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Amanda Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
100 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM AMANDA SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER EL SALVADOR,
GUATEMALA, AND WESTERN HONDURAS...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 90.2W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NNE OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The governments of El Salvador and Guatemala have discontinued all
tropical storm warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Amanda
was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 90.2 West. Amanda is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northward motion is
expected through this evening, followed by a turn toward the
northwest on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Amanda
will move farther inland over Guatemala through this evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is likely this afternoon,
and the cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low or
dissipate over the mountains of Central America later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through the middle of the week, Amanda or its remnants are
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over
El Salvador, southern Guatemala, western Honduras, and the Mexican
states of Tabasco and Veracruz. This system is also expected to
produce 5 to 10 inches of rain over northwestern Nicaragua, Belize,
and the Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Chiapas, and
Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible in El
Salvador, southern Guatemala, Tabasco, and Veracruz. This rainfall
may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 311603

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 31.05.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.9N 58.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.05.2020 0 31.9N 58.6W 1016 21
0000UTC 01.06.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 90.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.05.2020 0 13.5N 90.0W 1005 33
0000UTC 01.06.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 19.3N 93.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 02.06.2020 48 19.3N 93.8W 1004 34
0000UTC 03.06.2020 60 18.2N 93.2W 1002 31
1200UTC 03.06.2020 72 18.8N 92.0W 1003 32
0000UTC 04.06.2020 84 18.8N 92.1W 1000 31
1200UTC 04.06.2020 96 18.5N 92.3W 1001 29
0000UTC 05.06.2020 108 CEASED TRACKING

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 311603

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 311603

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.05.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.9N 58.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.05.2020 31.9N 58.6W WEAK
00UTC 01.06.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 90.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.05.2020 13.5N 90.0W WEAK
00UTC 01.06.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 19.3N 93.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 02.06.2020 19.3N 93.8W WEAK
00UTC 03.06.2020 18.2N 93.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.06.2020 18.8N 92.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.06.2020 18.8N 92.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.06.2020 18.5N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.06.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 311603

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 311600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 90.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 90.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 16.5N 90.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.1N 90.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.7N 92.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.8N 92.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.5N 93.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
311600Z POSITION NEAR 15.0N 90.2W.
31MAY20. TROPICAL STORM 02E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1836
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 312200Z, 010400Z, 011000Z AND 011600Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 311437
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Amanda Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
1000 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

Visible satellite imagery and surface observations show that the
center of Amanda has moved inland over southeastern Guatemala. The
system is producing a large area of deep convection and heavy
rainfall over much of southern Guatemala, El Salvador, and western
Honduras. Although the center is inland, recent reports from El
Salvador indicate some areas are receiving winds gusts above
tropical storm force. The initial intensity will remain 35 kt for
this advisory, but rapid weakening should begin very soon as the
center moves farther inland. The system is likely to degenerate
into a remnant low pressure area or dissipate over the the
mountainous terrain of Guatemala later today or tonight.

Amanda is moving north-northeast or 015/8 kt. The cyclone is
embedded within a larger cyclone gyre located over eastern Mexico,
and Amanda or its remnants should turn northward today, and then
northwestward tonight and Monday as it steered around the gyre.
Amanda's remnants should move over eastern Mexico on Monday and be
near the southern Bay of Campeche by late Monday and Tuesday, which
could allow for the formation of a new tropical cyclone. Although
the official forecast implies a continuous track of the system, it
is certainly possible that the low-level center will dissipate and
that a new low will form in association with Amanda's remnants over
eastern Mexico or the southern Bay of Campeche. Please refer to
NHC's Atlantic basin Special Tropical Weather Outlooks for more
details on possible tropical cyclone development in the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico.

The main hazard from Amanda, and the larger gyre in which the
cyclone is embedded, is expected to be heavy rainfall. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides across
portions of Central America and southern Mexico, and these threats
will continue over the next several days even after Amanda is no
longer a tropical cyclone. For additional information, see products
issued by your national meteorological service.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/1500Z 14.7N 90.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 16.5N 90.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H 01/1200Z 18.1N 90.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 02/0000Z 18.7N 92.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 02/1200Z 18.8N 92.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 03/0000Z 18.5N 93.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 311436
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022020
1500 UTC SUN MAY 31 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* ENTIRE COAST OF GUATEMALA

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 90.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 90.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 90.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 90.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.1N 90.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.7N 92.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.8N 92.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N 93.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 90.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 31/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 311437
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
1000 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...AMANDA BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR AS IT MOVES INLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 90.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ENE OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 90.3 West. Amanda is
moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
north-northeastward or northward motion is expected through this
evening. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Amanda will move
farther inland over Guatemala today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening should begin very soon while the center moves farther
inland. The cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low
or dissipate over the mountains of Central America later today or
tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through the middle of the week, Amanda or its remnants are
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over
El Salvador, southern Guatemala, western Honduras, and the Mexican
states of Tabasco and Veracruz. This system is also expected to
produce 5 to 10 inches of rain over northwestern Nicaragua, Belize,
and the Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Chiapas, and
Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible in El
Salvador, southern Guatemala, Tabasco, and Veracruz. This rainfall
may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within
portions of the warning area during the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 311145
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
700 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...AMANDA BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND EL
SALVADOR AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 90.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located inland over southeastern Guatemala near latitude 14.2
North, longitude 90.4 West. Amanda is moving toward the
north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A north-northeastward or
northward motion is expected through this evening. On the forecast
track, the center of Amanda will move farther inland over Guatemala
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is expected to begin this morning while the
center moves farther inland. The cyclone is expected to degenerate
into a remnant low or dissipate over the mountains of Central
America later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through the middle of the week, Amanda or its remnants are
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches
over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, western Honduras, and the
Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz. This system is also
expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain over northwestern
Nicaragua, Belize, and the Mexican states of Quintana Roo,
Campeche, Chiapas, and Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20
inches are possible in El Salvador, southern Guatemala, Tabasco,
and Veracruz. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within
portions of the warning area during the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 311000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 13.3N 90.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 90.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 15.2N 90.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 17.4N 90.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 18.7N 91.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 19.0N 92.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.8N 93.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 18.4N 93.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
311000Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 90.4W.
31MAY20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1864 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 311600Z, 312200Z, 010400Z AND 011000Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 310854
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Amanda Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

Conventional and scatterometer satellite data indicate that the
depression has once again become better organized after a brief
hiatus a few hours ago. The intensity has been increased to 35 kt
based on recent UW-CIMSS ADT and SATCON satellite intensity
estimates of 34 kt and 38 kt, respectively.

The initial motion estimate is 020/08 kt, which is based on several
passive microwave and ASCAT scatterometer fixes. Amanda is
embedded within the eastern periphery of a larger cyclonic gyre
centered over eastern Mexico. The cyclone is expected to remain
trapped within the larger gyre for the next few days, resulting in
a north-northeastward to northward motion today, followed by a much
slower northwestward to westward motion on Tuesday and Wednesday,
with the remnant low possibly emerging over the Bay of Campeche on
days 2 and 3. The new forecast track is similar to the previous
advisory through 24 hours, but additional forecast track positions
were added through 72 hours due to the possibility of the system
moving over the Bay of Campeche, which could result in the formation
of a new tropical cyclone.

Little change in strength is expected before landfall occurs. After
landfall, the cyclone is expected to rapidly weaken over the
mountains of Central America. However, the large size of the
circulation could still produce winds of 20-25 kt over the adjacent
waters of the eastern North Pacific, Gulf of Honduras, and the Bay
of Campeche for the next 2-3 days.

The main hazards from Amanda, and the larger gyre in which the
cyclone is embedded, are expected to be heavy rainfall and flooding.
Amanda's slow forward motion, large size, and abundant tropical
moisture could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides
across portions of Central America and southern Mexico, and these
threats will continue well after Amanda moves inland. For
additional information, see products issued by your national
meteorological service.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0900Z 13.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 31/1800Z 15.2N 90.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 01/0600Z 17.4N 90.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H 01/1800Z 18.7N 91.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 02/0600Z 19.0N 92.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 02/1800Z 18.8N 93.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 03/0600Z 18.4N 93.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310854
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WHILE IT MOVES
CLOSER TO THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 90.4W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 90.4 West. Amanda is
moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slow
north-northeastward or northward motion is expected until landfall
occurs. On the forecast track, the center of Amanda is expected to
cross the coast of Guatemala later this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected until
landfall. Rapid weakening is forecast after landfall, and the
cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low over the
mountains of Central America later today or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through the middle of the week, Amanda is expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over El
Salvador, southern Guatemala, western Honduras, and the Mexican
states of Tabasco and Veracruz. Amanda is also expected to produce
5 to 10 inches of rain over northwestern Nicaragua, Belize, and the
Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Chiapas, and Oaxaca.
Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible in El Salvador,
southern Guatemala, Tabasco, and Veracruz. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area this morning.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 310853
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022020
0900 UTC SUN MAY 31 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* ENTIRE COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 90.4W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 90.4W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 90.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.2N 90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.4N 90.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.7N 91.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.0N 92.7W...POST-TROPICAL/OVER WATER
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.8N 93.2W...POST-TROPICAL/OVER WATER
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 93.7W...POST-TROPICAL/OVER WATER
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 90.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 31/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310533
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two-E Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
100 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING CLOSER TO THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA
AND EL SALVADOR...
...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 90.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two-E
was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 90.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h),
and a slow northward or north-northeastward motion is expected until
landfall. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to cross the coast of Guatemala early this morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible before landfall, and the
system could become a tropical storm later this morning. Rapid
weakening is expected after landfall, and the cyclone is likely to
dissipate over the mountains of Central America later today or
Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over El Salvador, southern
Guatemala, and western Honduras, and 5 to 10 inches over northwest
Nicaragua, Belize, and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Tabasco,
Veracruz, and Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are
possible in El Salvador and southern Guatemala. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area this morning.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 310234
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Two-E Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
1000 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

Satellite imagery, including a recently-received Windsat overpass,
indicates that the depression is gradually becoming better
organized, with an area of stronger convection forming near the
better defined center. Satellite intensity estimates at 00Z were
near 25 kt, and based on the increased organization since then the
initial intensity is increased to 30 kt. Some additional
strengthening is possible during the next 6-12 h before landfall,
and the depression could become a tropical storm during that time.
After landfall, the cyclone is expected to quickly weaken and
dissipate over the mountains of Central America.

The initial motion of 030/5 is somewhat uncertain. The depression
is on the east side of a developing large cyclonic gyre over eastern
Mexico and Central America, as well as being between the subtropical
ridge and a mid-level trough over central Mexico. This combination
of features should steer the cyclone north-northeastward to
northward until dissipation. The new forecast track is changed
little from the previous advisory and lies near the various
consensus models.

The main hazard from the system, and the larger gyre, is expected to
be heavy rainfall. The depression's slow forward motion, large
size, and abundant tropical moisture could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides across portions of Central America and
southern Mexico, and this threat will continue well after the
depression dissipates. For additional information, see products
issued by your national meteorological service.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0300Z 13.0N 90.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 31/1200Z 14.1N 90.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 01/0000Z 16.1N 90.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 310234
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022020
0300 UTC SUN MAY 31 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* ENTIRE COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 90.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 90.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 90.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.1N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.1N 90.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 90.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 31/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 310234
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
1000 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SLIGHTLY STRONGER AS IT MOVES TOWARD
THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 90.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two-E
was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 90.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h),
and a slow north or north-northeast motion is expected until
landfall. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to cross the coast of Guatemala early Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible before landfall, and the
system could become a tropical storm Sunday morning. Weakening is
expected after landfall, and the cyclone is likely to dissipate
over the mountains of Central America Sunday night or Monday,

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over El Salvador, southern
Guatemala, and western Honduras, and 5 to 10 inches over northwest
Nicaragua, Belize, and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Tabasco,
Veracruz, and Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are
possible in El Salvador and southern Guatemala. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area on Sunday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 302338
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
700 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE COASTS OF EL
SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 91.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two-E
was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 91.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 4 mph (6 km/h),
and a slow north or north-northeast motion is expected until
landfall. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to cross the coast of Guatemala tonight or early Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible until the system makes
landfall. Dissipation is expected shortly after the system moves
inland.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over El Salvador, southern
Guatemala, and western Honduras, and 5 to 10 inches over northwest
Nicaragua, Belize, and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Tabasco,
Veracruz, and Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are
possible in El Salvador and southern Guatemala. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area tonight and early Sunday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 302038
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Two-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

Satellite data indicate that the low pressure system that NHC has
been monitoring near the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador has
developed sufficiently organized deep convection and a well-defined
center to be classified a tropical depression. It should be noted
that this depression is embedded within a large gyre that is spread
out across the far eastern Pacific and portions of Central America.
The initial intensity is set at 25 kt, following the maximum wind
observed in recent ASCAT passes and a Dvorak classification from
TAFB. The depression could strengthen a little before it reaches
the coast of Guatemala early Sunday, but significant strengthening
is not expected given the broad structure of the cyclone and its
limited time over water. A tropical storm warning has been issued
by the governments of Guatemala and El Salvador for the entire
coastline of those countries.

The initial motion of the depression is estimated to be 030/3 kt,
but this is highly uncertain given that the center of the system
has only recently become well defined. The track models are in
fairly good agreement that a slow northward or north-northeastward
should occur through landfall, and the cyclone is expected to
dissipate over the rugged terrain of Guatemala late Sunday or
Sunday night.

The main hazard from the system, and the larger gyre, is expected to
be heavy rainfall. The depression's slow forward motion, large
size, and abundant tropical moisture could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides across portions of Central America and
southern Mexico. For additional information, see products
issued by your national meteorological service.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 12.3N 91.1W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 31/0600Z 13.2N 90.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 31/1800Z 15.0N 90.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 302036
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022020
2100 UTC SAT MAY 30 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...FROM THE GUATEMALA/EL
SALVADOR
BORDER TO THE EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF GUATEMALA...FROM THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* ENTIRE COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 91.1W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 91.1W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 91.1W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 13.2N 90.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 91.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 31/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/LATTO

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Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 302037
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Two-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022020
400 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR AND
GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 91.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of El Salvador has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the entire coast of El Salvador, from the Guatemala/El Salvador
border to the El Salvador/Honduras border.

The government of Guatemala has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the entire coastline of Guatemala, from the Mexico/Guatemala border
eastward to the Guatemala/El Salvador border.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Entire coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests in southern Mexico and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two-E
was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 91.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 3 mph (6
km/h), and a slow north or north-northeast motion is expected until
landfall. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to cross the coast of Guatemala tonight or early Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible until the system makes landfall.
Dissipation is expected shortly after the system moves inland.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over El Salvador, southern
Guatemala, and western Honduras, and 5 to 10 inches over northwest
Nicaragua, Belize, and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Tabasco,
Veracruz, and Oaxaca. Isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are
possible in El Salvador and southern Guatemala. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area tonight and early Sunday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

>

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