Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 11 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

11 Aug 2020 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (13 Aug 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	157 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 03:00	139	Few people	No people	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 09:00	139	Few people	Few people	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 15:00	157	Few people	No people	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 21:00	157	Few people	Few people	Mexico
5	10 Aug 2020 03:00	157	Few people	Few people	Mexico
6	10 Aug 2020 09:00	148	Few people	Few people	Mexico
7	10 Aug 2020 15:00	148	Few people	No people	Mexico
8	10 Aug 2020 21:00	148	Few people	No people	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 03:00	148	Few people	No people	Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 09:00	148	Few people	No people	Mexico
11	11 Aug 2020 15:00	157	Few people	No people	Mexico
12	11 Aug 2020 21:00	157	Few people	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	09 Aug 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.7, -102.6
2	09 Aug 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.8, -104.1
3	09 Aug 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.4, -105.4
4	09 Aug 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17, -106.4
5	10 Aug 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	17.8, -107.4
6	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	102	<1000 people	<1000 people	18.3, -108.8
7	10 Aug 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	<1000 people	18.9, -109.8
8	10 Aug 2020 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	19.6, -110.9
9	11 Aug 2020 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	20.1, -112.1
10	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	20.7, -113
11	11 Aug 2020 15:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	21.3, -113.8
12	11 Aug 2020 21:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	22.1, -115.4
12	12 Aug 2020 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	22.7, -117.2
12	12 Aug 2020 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	23.6, -119
12	13 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	24.6, -120.3
12	13 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.5, -121.1
12	14 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	26.7, -122.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Queretaro, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Aug 2020 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (6 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 11 Aug 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 Aug 2020 09:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.