Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20 in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea from 21 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC to 27 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-20

in China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2020-000178-PRK
Exposed countries	China, Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea
Exposed population	2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.9 m (27 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (North Korea)
Landfall	between 27 Aug 2020 00:00 - 27 Aug 2020 06:00 in China

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	74 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	1.9 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 123.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	194	32 million	610 thousand	Republic of Korea
2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	194	70.6 million	34.8 million	Republic of Korea
3	22 Aug 2020 00:00	194	80.1 million	38.7 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
4	22 Aug 2020 06:00	194	82.1 million	29.8 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
5	22 Aug 2020 12:00	194	100.5 million	40.6 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
6	22 Aug 2020 18:00	120	101.9 million	13.4 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
7	23 Aug 2020 00:00	185	118.8 million	2.4 million	Democratic Republic of Korea
8	23 Aug 2020 06:00	176	115.7 million	5.6 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
9	23 Aug 2020 12:00	167	122.6 million	15.7 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
10	23 Aug 2020 18:00	130	108.5 million	16.5 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
11	24 Aug 2020 00:00	176	101.4 million	2.8 million	Democratic Republic of Korea
12	24 Aug 2020 06:00	194	111.5 million	11.7 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
13	24 Aug 2020 12:00	157	125.3 million	18.9 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
14	24 Aug 2020 18:00	139	95.5 million	18.6 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
15	25 Aug 2020 00:00	176	104.1 million	19.9 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
16	25 Aug 2020 06:00	167	153.7 million	23.7 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
17	25 Aug 2020 12:00	185	127.5 million	21.1 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
18	25 Aug 2020 18:00	148	119.3 million	6.9 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
19	26 Aug 2020 00:00	167	126.5 million	14.2 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
20	26 Aug 2020 06:00	148	120.7 million	5.4 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
21	26 Aug 2020 12:00	176	103.2 million	11.3 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
22	26 Aug 2020 18:00	148	76.9 million	10.9 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
23	27 Aug 2020 00:00	120	104.5 million	4.3 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, China
24	27 Aug 2020 06:00	74	123.6 million	2.7 million	China, Democratic Republic of Korea

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	21 Aug 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22, 122.2
2	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23, 122.3
3	22 Aug 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6.7 million people	23.5, 122.7
4	22 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	4.8 million people	24.3, 123.2
5	22 Aug 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	110000 people	25.3, 123.8
6	22 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	100000 people	25.8, 123.7
7	23 Aug 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	8400 people	26.3, 123.8
8	23 Aug 2020 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	64000 people	26.7, 124.4
9	23 Aug 2020 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	61000 people	27, 125.2
10	23 Aug 2020 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	19000 people	27, 125.5
11	24 Aug 2020 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	1.3 million people	27.3, 126
12	24 Aug 2020 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	1.3 million people	27.8, 126.6
13	24 Aug 2020 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	8400 people	28.5, 126.4
14	24 Aug 2020 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	28.6, 126.1
15	25 Aug 2020 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	140000 people	29.2, 125.7
16	25 Aug 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	19.4 million people	29.9, 125.5
17	25 Aug 2020 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	830000 people	30.6, 125.2
18	25 Aug 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	3.1 million people	31.3, 124.8
19	26 Aug 2020 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	7.9 million people	32.4, 124.5
20	26 Aug 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	43.6 million people	33.6, 124.4
21	26 Aug 2020 12:00	Category 2	176	2.5 million people	50.5 million people	35, 124.3
22	26 Aug 2020 18:00	Category 1	148	10.9 million people	56 million people	36.8, 124.3
23	27 Aug 2020 00:00	Category 1	120	3.7 million people	58.6 million people	39.1, 124.8
24	27 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	72 million people	41.6, 125.8	China
24	27 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	45.1, 128.5	China
24	28 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	46.3, 129.9	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.