Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAULETTE-20 in Bermuda, from 07 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC to 10 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAULETTE-20

in Bermuda,

10 Sep 2020 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Bermuda,
Exposed population	70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (14 Sep 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
2	07 Sep 2020 09:00	93	No people	No people
3	07 Sep 2020 15:00	93	No people	No people
4	07 Sep 2020 21:00	93	No people	No people
5	08 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
6	08 Sep 2020 09:00	102	No people	No people
7	08 Sep 2020 15:00	111	No people	No people
8	08 Sep 2020 21:00	111	No people	No people
9	09 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
10	09 Sep 2020 09:00	93	No people	No people
11	09 Sep 2020 15:00	93	No people	No people
12	09 Sep 2020 21:00	102	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
13	10 Sep 2020 03:00	120	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	07 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17, -41.5
2	07 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.3, -42.1
3	07 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.2, -42.2
4	07 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.5, -42.4
5	08 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.8, -42.5
6	08 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.1, -42.8
7	08 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.4, -43.3
8	08 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.7, -44.3
9	09 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.2, -45
10	09 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.2, -45.6
11	09 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20, -46.5
12	09 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.5, -47.4
13	10 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.9, -48.1
13	10 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	21.3, -49.5
13	11 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	21.4, -51.5
13	11 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.9, -53.2
13	12 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	22.8, -54.6
13	12 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	24.1, -55.9
13	13 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	25.8, -57.3
13	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	71000 people	29, -62
13	15 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	31, -65

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 10 Sep 2020 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Sep 2020 03:00	The Settlement	British Virgin Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.