Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for VAMCO-20 in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines from 09 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC to 15 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for VAMCO-20

in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAMCO-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2020-000225-PHL
Exposed countries	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
Exposed population	47.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (15 Nov 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Vietnam)
Landfall	between 15 Nov 2020 00:00 - 15 Nov 2020 06:00 in Viet Nam

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	130 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	213 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 47.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Nov 2020 06:00	204	61.9 million	27.9 million	Philippines
2	09 Nov 2020 12:00	194	68.5 million	32.3 million	Philippines
3	09 Nov 2020 18:00	194	83.8 million	33.1 million	Philippines
4	10 Nov 2020 00:00	167	83 million	27 million	Philippines
5	10 Nov 2020 06:00	167	79.7 million	28.1 million	Philippines, Viet Nam
6	10 Nov 2020 12:00	148	82.5 million	26.9 million	Philippines, Viet Nam
7	10 Nov 2020 18:00	157	82.5 million	6.9 million	Philippines
8	11 Nov 2020 00:00	176	84.3 million	9.5 million	Philippines
9	11 Nov 2020 06:00	148	67.2 million	20.8 million	Philippines
10	11 Nov 2020 12:00	167	70.7 million	25.5 million	Philippines
11	11 Nov 2020 18:00	176	90.3 million	44.7 million	Philippines
12	12 Nov 2020 00:00	139	92.2 million	46.8 million	Philippines, Viet Nam
13	12 Nov 2020 06:00	130	91.4 million	46.1 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos
14	12 Nov 2020 12:00	130	88.5 million	45.1 million	Philippines
15	12 Nov 2020 18:00	130	85.5 million	45.1 million	Philippines
16	13 Nov 2020 00:00	130	87 million	45.1 million	Philippines
17	13 Nov 2020 06:00	111	85.5 million	45.1 million	Philippines
18	13 Nov 2020 12:00	120	90.2 million	45.9 million	Viet Nam, Philippines, Laos
19	13 Nov 2020 18:00	148	84.1 million	45.7 million	Viet Nam, Philippines
20	14 Nov 2020 00:00	148	85.9 million	46.4 million	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
21	14 Nov 2020 06:00	167	83.7 million	46.6 million	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
22	14 Nov 2020 12:00	176	86 million	45.5 million	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
23	14 Nov 2020 18:00	148	87.9 million	48.6 million	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
24	15 Nov 2020 00:00	148	89 million	47 million	Viet Nam, Philippines
25	15 Nov 2020 06:00	130	88.9 million	47.4 million	Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12, 130.9
2	09 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.3, 129.9
3	09 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.7, 129.4
4	10 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	42000 people	13.3, 128.5
5	10 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	980000 people	13.5, 128
6	10 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.7 million people	14.4, 126.6
7	10 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	67 million people	14.7, 125.9
8	11 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 1	139	53000 people	67.5 million people	14.8, 124.5
9	11 Nov 2020 06:00	Category 1	148	17.9 million people	56.5 million people	14.6, 123.4
10	11 Nov 2020 12:00	Category 2	167	25.1 million people	52.3 million people	14.6, 122.9
11	11 Nov 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	44.1 million people	69.5 million people	15, 121.3	Philippines
12	12 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 1	148	21.9 million people	59.8 million people	15.2, 119.6
13	12 Nov 2020 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	53.3 million people	15.2, 118.5
14	12 Nov 2020 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	47.3 million people	15.2, 117.4
15	12 Nov 2020 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	1.1 million people	15.2, 116.3
16	13 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	2500 people	15.4, 115.5
17	13 Nov 2020 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	20000 people	15.4, 114.4
18	13 Nov 2020 12:00	Category 3	185	<1000 people	1.2 million people	15.5, 113.4
19	13 Nov 2020 18:00	Category 4	213	<1000 people	5.7 million people	15.6, 112.4
20	14 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	8.8 million people	15.8, 111.3
21	14 Nov 2020 06:00	Category 3	185	<1000 people	7.7 million people	16, 110.2
22	14 Nov 2020 12:00	Category 2	176	<1000 people	10.7 million people	16.4, 109.4
23	14 Nov 2020 18:00	Category 1	148	3.5 million people	11.8 million people	16.7, 108.5
24	15 Nov 2020 00:00	Category 1	148	910000 people	9 million people	17.1, 107.9
25	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Category 1	130	1.1 million people	10.1 million people	17.7, 106.5	Viet Nam
25	15 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6.9 million people	18.3, 104.8	Laos
25	16 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	18.3, 103.7	Thailand, Laos

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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