Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MIRINAE-21 in Japan from 04 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC to 09 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MIRINAE-21

in Japan

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MIRINAE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (05 Aug 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)
Landfall	between 05 Aug 2021 00:00 - 05 Aug 2021 06:00 in Japan

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 59.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	04 Aug 2021 06:00	102	52.4 million	No people	Japan
2	04 Aug 2021 12:00	102	104.5 million	No people	Japan, Russian Federation
3	04 Aug 2021 18:00	93	93.3 million	No people	Japan
4	05 Aug 2021 00:00	93	77.4 million	No people	Japan
5	05 Aug 2021 06:00	93	59.1 million	No people	Japan
6	05 Aug 2021 12:00	93	50.9 million	No people	Japan
8	06 Aug 2021 00:00	93	42.1 million	No people	Japan
9	06 Aug 2021 06:00	93	51.5 million	No people	Japan
10	06 Aug 2021 12:00	93	50.8 million	No people	Japan
11	06 Aug 2021 18:00	102	41 million	No people	Japan
12	07 Aug 2021 00:00	102	37.6 million	No people	Japan
13	07 Aug 2021 06:00	93	39.7 million	No people	Japan
14	07 Aug 2021 12:00	83	43.7 million	No people	Japan
15	07 Aug 2021 18:00	93	50.9 million	No people	Japan
16	08 Aug 2021 00:00	93	58.4 million	No people	Japan
17	08 Aug 2021 06:00	83	59.7 million	No people	Japan
18	08 Aug 2021 12:00	83	59.7 million	No people	Japan
19	08 Aug 2021 18:00	93	59.7 million	No people	Japan
20	09 Aug 2021 00:00	83	59.7 million	No people	Japan
21	09 Aug 2021 06:00	83	59.7 million	No people	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	04 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	25, 128.2
2	04 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.4 million people	25.7, 127.4
3	04 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.3 million people	25.8, 126.8
4	05 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	26.5, 126.3
5	05 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	26.8, 127.8	Japan
6	05 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.4 million people	27, 128.8
8	06 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2100 people	27, 131.3
9	06 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	27.3, 133.3
10	06 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	<1000 people	27.9, 134.7
11	06 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	13000 people	28.4, 136.7
12	07 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	240000 people	29.3, 137.5
13	07 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	34.6 million people	31, 138.5
14	07 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	42.2 million people	31.9, 139
15	07 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	49.5 million people	33.2, 139.5
16	08 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	57 million people	34, 140.6
17	08 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	47.8 million people	35.2, 142.1
18	08 Aug 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	260000 people	36.2, 143.7
19	08 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37, 145.1
20	09 Aug 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	37.7, 147
21	09 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	38.2, 150
21	09 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	38.6, 156.4
21	10 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	38.4, 163.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.