Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FRED-21 in United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 09 Aug 2021 21:00 UTC to 17 Aug 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for FRED-21

in United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FRED-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (11 Aug 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Haiti)
Landfall	between 16 Aug 2021 15:00 - 16 Aug 2021 21:00 in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 16.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Aug 2021 21:00	65	21.6 million	No people	Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
2	10 Aug 2021 03:00	74	23 million	No people	Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
3	10 Aug 2021 09:00	93	15.3 million	No people	Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
4	10 Aug 2021 15:00	74	16.6 million	No people	Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States
5	10 Aug 2021 21:00	65	19.1 million	No people	Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States
6	11 Aug 2021 03:00	102	17.4 million	No people	Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Cuba, United States
7	11 Aug 2021 09:00	102	14.5 million	No people	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Cuba, United States
8	11 Aug 2021 15:00	102	19.1 million	No people	Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, Cuba, United States
9	11 Aug 2021 21:00	93	22.1 million	No people	Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, Cuba, United States
10	12 Aug 2021 03:00	93	20 million	No people	Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Cuba, United States
11	12 Aug 2021 09:00	93	20.4 million	No people	Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba, Puerto Rico, United States
12	12 Aug 2021 15:00	93	19.5 million	No people	Haiti, Dominican Republic, United States, Puerto Rico
13	12 Aug 2021 21:00	83	16.7 million	No people	Haiti, Dominican Republic, United States, Puerto Rico
14	13 Aug 2021 03:00	83	20.7 million	No people	Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Republic, United States, Puerto Rico
15	13 Aug 2021 09:00	83	19.2 million	No people	Cuba, Haiti, United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
16	13 Aug 2021 15:00	83	16.8 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
17	13 Aug 2021 21:00	93	16.6 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
18	14 Aug 2021 03:00	93	17 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
19	14 Aug 2021 09:00	93	19 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	14 Aug 2021 15:00	83	17.9 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	14 Aug 2021 21:00	83	16 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22	15 Aug 2021 03:00	83	15.9 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
23	15 Aug 2021 09:00	83	17.4 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
24	15 Aug 2021 15:00	83	16.5 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
25	15 Aug 2021 21:00	93	16.8 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
26	16 Aug 2021 03:00	93	16.8 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
27	16 Aug 2021 09:00	93	17.7 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
28	16 Aug 2021 15:00	102	17 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
29	16 Aug 2021 21:00	93	23.1 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
30	17 Aug 2021 03:00	65	17 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
31	17 Aug 2021 09:00	56	16.6 million	No people	United States, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	260000 people	14.2, -59.2
2	10 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	67000 people	15.1, -60.8
3	10 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, -62.2
4	10 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	11000 people	16.3, -63.8
5	10 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	97000 people	16.9, -65.5
6	11 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.7 million people	17.4, -66.8
7	11 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	7.4 million people	18, -68.2
8	11 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	10 million people	18.2, -69.7
9	11 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	8.6 million people	18.9, -71	Dominican Republic
10	12 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	19.5, -72.2	Haiti
11	12 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.2, -73.5
12	12 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.9, -74.4
13	12 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.3, -75.3
14	13 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	17000 people	21.5, -75.6
15	13 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	150000 people	22, -76.7
16	13 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.3, -78.4	Cuba
17	13 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.3, -79.6	Cuba
18	14 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.7, -80.6	Cuba
19	14 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.3, -81.7	Cuba
20	14 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.3, -83.2
21	14 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	24, -84.6
22	15 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.8, -84.3
23	15 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	24.4, -84.6
24	15 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	26.1, -84.9
25	15 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	26.8, -85.3
26	16 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7100 people	27.3, -85.9
27	16 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	430000 people	27.9, -86
28	16 Aug 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.5 million people	29.2, -85.7
29	16 Aug 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.7 million people	29.9, -85.3	United States
30	17 Aug 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.3 million people	31.2, -85.2	United States
31	17 Aug 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	32.3, -85	United States
31	17 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	34.2, -84.3	United States
31	18 Aug 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	37, -82.6	United States
31	18 Aug 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	39.6, -80.4	United States

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.