Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DUMAKO-22 in Madagascar from 13 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC to 15 Feb 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DUMAKO-22

in Madagascar

15 Feb 2022 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DUMAKO-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (15 Feb 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 15 Feb 2022 06:00 - 15 Feb 2022 18:00 in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Feb 2022 06:00	65	870 thousand	No people	Madagascar
2	13 Feb 2022 18:00	102	1.7 million	No people	Madagascar
3	14 Feb 2022 06:00	93	1.5 million	No people	Madagascar
4	14 Feb 2022 18:00	83	2.7 million	No people	Madagascar
5	15 Feb 2022 06:00	83	2.9 million	No people	Madagascar
6	15 Feb 2022 18:00	65	2.3 million	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-14.9, 60.9
2	13 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.7, 58.3
3	14 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-16.5, 55.2
4	14 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	120000 people	-16.7, 53
5	15 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.6 million people	-16.9, 50.4
6	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.5 million people	-17.1, 48.4	Madagascar
6	16 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-16.8, 46.1	Madagascar
6	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-16.6, 43.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Toamasina	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Antsiranana	Madagascar

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Ambatondrazaka	WAM	766	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Tsaratanana	TTS	327	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4300
Andriamena	WAD	unknown				0
Sainte Marie	SMS	2	Civ.	Paved	No	3300
Mananara Nord	WMR	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Madirovalo	WMV	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Fenerive		Madagascar
Foulpointe		Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie		Madagascar
Saint Mary Island		Madagascar
Mananara	MGWMR	Madagascar

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Sahamaloto	Sahamaloto	1958
	Amboromalandy		1934

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Manehoko, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 15 Feb 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (196 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 15 Feb 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.5
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.5
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.5
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.5
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Feb 2022 16:00	Baly	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Manakalana	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Ampasimbe	Madagascar	0.4
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 17:00	Ilomotro	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 17:00	Andohonko	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 17:00	Antsisikala	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Feb 2022 02:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 12:00	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Feb 2022 03:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Feb 2022 03:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Feb 2022 12:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 02:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 12:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 14:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Ambariomena	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Antsahabe	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Maromanjo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Andamoty	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Maromandia	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 03:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 17:00	Tsilambana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Antanifatsy	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Soahanina	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 12:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 07:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 13:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 14:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 03:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 05:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Antsorokaka	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 05:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 22:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 11:00	Ampitilova	Madagascar	0.2
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Fararano	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 17:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Mahatsaborimaika	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Ambalabao	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Bevatry	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 17:00	Andranovoribe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 12:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 12:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 16:00	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Dzamandzar	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Vilamatsa	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 08:00	Ampasimena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.2
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 13:00	Ampanakana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 02:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 03:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 12:00	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 09:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Manampatra	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 09:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 12:00	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Manakambahiny	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Vohitramposina	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Ampitabe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 00:00	Ampohana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 10:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Voalavo	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 22:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 01:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 22:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 20:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 16:00	Antetezambaro	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 16:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 15:00	Vohitsara	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 05:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Feb 2022 08:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 17:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	14 Feb 2022 21:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 02:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Mangaoka	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 19:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 23:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 23:00	Ambodiadabo	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 23:00	Androlavy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 10:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 11:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 15:00	Ambodihariha	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Marosiky	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Seranandavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 22:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Feb 2022 22:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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