Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DUMAKO-22 in Madagascar from 13 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC to 15 Feb 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DUMAKO-22

in Madagascar

15 Feb 2022 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DUMAKO-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (15 Feb 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 15 Feb 2022 06:00 - 15 Feb 2022 18:00 in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Feb 2022 06:00	65	870 thousand	No people	Madagascar
2	13 Feb 2022 18:00	102	1.7 million	No people	Madagascar
3	14 Feb 2022 06:00	93	1.5 million	No people	Madagascar
4	14 Feb 2022 18:00	83	2.7 million	No people	Madagascar
5	15 Feb 2022 06:00	83	2.9 million	No people	Madagascar
6	15 Feb 2022 18:00	65	2.3 million	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-14.9, 60.9
2	13 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-15.7, 58.3
3	14 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-16.5, 55.2
4	14 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	120000 people	-16.7, 53
5	15 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.6 million people	-16.9, 50.4
6	15 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.5 million people	-17.1, 48.4	Madagascar
6	16 Feb 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-16.8, 46.1	Madagascar
6	16 Feb 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-16.6, 43.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.