Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 22:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
10 min - 1 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (09 Mar 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 07 Mar 2022 22:00 - 08 Mar 2022 04:00 in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (10-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	65 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	139	1.3 million	110 thousand	Mozambique
	2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	65	630 thousand	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	15000 people	-15.5, 51.7
2	07 Mar 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	630000 people	-15.7, 51
2	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	33	no people	no people	-15.6, 50.1	Madagascar

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Antsiranana	Madagascar
Toamasina	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Antalaha	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	34000 people
Maroantsetra	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	24000 people
Mananara	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	41000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Antalaha Antsirabato	ANM	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Mananara Nord	WMR	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Maroantsetra	WMN	4	Civ.	Paved	No	4200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Antataha	MGANM	Madagascar
Maroantsetra	MGWMN	Madagascar
Mananara	MGWMR	Madagascar

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Ankinganomby, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 09 Mar 2022 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (83 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 07 Mar 2022 16:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 09:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 09:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Berafia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 16:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tsianinkiro	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 07:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 11:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 17:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 08:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 09:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min