Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Dec 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)
Landfall between
22 Dec 2022 06:00 - 22 Dec 2022 12:00

in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 74 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1400 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 93 3 thousand No people Australia
Green 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 74 2 thousand No people Australia
Green 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 65 1 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2500 people -12.8, 129.1
GREEN
2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1000 people -13.3, 129.8 Australia
GREEN
3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -14.2, 130.1 Australia
GREEN
3 23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 130.6 Australia
GREEN
3 23 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -17, 130.8 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia 1300 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Northern Territory Australia 1300 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Peppimenarti PEP unknown 0
Timber Creek TBK unknown 0
Coolibah COB unknown 0

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Nightcliff, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Dec 2022 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (44 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 22 Dec 2022 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 15:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Parap Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Darwin Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Bagot Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Leanyer Australia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tor Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 22:00 Minjilang Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 05:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Matara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Urum Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Birab Indonesia  0.1