Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUCHOL-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GUCHOL-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 167 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 11000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 06 Jun 2023 00:00 157 No people No people
Green 2 06 Jun 2023 06:00 157 No people No people
Green 3 06 Jun 2023 12:00 157 No people No people
Green 4 06 Jun 2023 18:00 157 Few people No people
Green 5 07 Jun 2023 00:00 157 No people No people
Green 6 07 Jun 2023 06:00 157 Few people No people
Green 7 07 Jun 2023 12:00 167 Few people No people
Green 8 07 Jun 2023 18:00 167 Few people No people
Green 9 08 Jun 2023 00:00 167 Few people Few people
Green 10 08 Jun 2023 06:00 167 9 thousand Few people
Green 11 08 Jun 2023 12:00 185 10 thousand Few people
Green 12 08 Jun 2023 18:00 167 10 thousand No people
Green 13 09 Jun 2023 00:00 157 2 thousand Few people
Green 14 09 Jun 2023 06:00 157 Few people No people
Green 15 09 Jun 2023 12:00 148 9 thousand No people
Green 16 09 Jun 2023 18:00 167 4 thousand No people
Green 17 10 Jun 2023 00:00 167 10 thousand No people
Green 18 10 Jun 2023 06:00 167 10 thousand No people
Green 19 10 Jun 2023 12:00 157 10 thousand No people
Green 20 10 Jun 2023 18:00 148 10 thousand No people
Green 21 11 Jun 2023 00:00 157 10 thousand No people
Green 22 11 Jun 2023 06:00 157 20 thousand Few people Japan
Green 23 11 Jun 2023 12:00 148 10 thousand Few people
Green 24 11 Jun 2023 18:00 111 10 thousand Few people
Green 25 12 Jun 2023 00:00 93 10 thousand Few people
Green 26 12 Jun 2023 06:00 83 10 thousand Few people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Jun 2023 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 13.4, 134.8
GREEN
2 06 Jun 2023 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, 134.9
GREEN
3 06 Jun 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, 134.6
GREEN
4 06 Jun 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.7, 134.2
GREEN
5 07 Jun 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.6, 134.1
GREEN
6 07 Jun 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.2, 133.8
GREEN
7 07 Jun 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.3, 133.1
GREEN
8 07 Jun 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.7, 132.4
GREEN
9 08 Jun 2023 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.9, 131.8
GREEN
10 08 Jun 2023 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.2, 131.2
GREEN
11 08 Jun 2023 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.4, 130.8
GREEN
12 08 Jun 2023 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.9, 130.4
GREEN
13 09 Jun 2023 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 17.2, 130.4
GREEN
14 09 Jun 2023 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 17.8, 130.1
GREEN
15 09 Jun 2023 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.3, 130
GREEN
16 09 Jun 2023 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18.5, 129.9
GREEN
17 10 Jun 2023 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 19, 129.9
GREEN
18 10 Jun 2023 06:00 Category 2 167 no people <1000 people 20, 130.1
GREEN
19 10 Jun 2023 12:00 Category 2 157 no people <1000 people 20.7, 130.5
GREEN
20 10 Jun 2023 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 2100 people 22, 130.9
GREEN
21 11 Jun 2023 00:00 Category 2 157 no people 2100 people 23.2, 131.6
GREEN
22 11 Jun 2023 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 2100 people 24.2, 132.5
GREEN
23 11 Jun 2023 12:00 Category 1 148 no people 1500 people 25.6, 133.8
GREEN
24 11 Jun 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 26.7, 135.2
GREEN
25 12 Jun 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 8800 people 28.1, 136.7
GREEN
26 12 Jun 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 8800 people 29.5, 138.3
GREEN
26 12 Jun 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 8700 people 32.1, 142.1
GREEN
26 13 Jun 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 34.4, 146.8
GREEN
26 13 Jun 2023 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 36.3, 152.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Mitsune Shizuoka Japan City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hachijo Jima HAC 92 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Kitadaito KTD 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Minami Daito MMD 4 Civ. Paved Yes 4900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tori Island Japan
Aoga Island Japan
Yaene Japan
Kita Japan
Okino Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 06 Jun 2023 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)