Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for KALMAEGI-25 in Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos from 01 Nov 2025 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2025 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for KALMAEGI-25

in Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI-25 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2025-000203-PHL
Exposed countries	Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos
Exposed population	14.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.3 m (03 Nov 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Cambodia)
Landfall	between 06 Nov 2025 06:00 - 06 Nov 2025 12:00 in Viet Nam

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	213 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 14.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	01 Nov 2025 06:00	130	28.7 million	8.1 million	Philippines
2	01 Nov 2025 12:00	157	41.1 million	5.1 million	Philippines
3	01 Nov 2025 18:00	167	49.7 million	3.8 million	Philippines
4	02 Nov 2025 00:00	176	42 million	3.5 million	Philippines
5	02 Nov 2025 06:00	194	47.2 million	9.4 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos
6	02 Nov 2025 12:00	194	46.2 million	9.3 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos
7	02 Nov 2025 18:00	176	53.1 million	9.4 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos
8	03 Nov 2025 00:00	176	38.5 million	13.1 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand
9	03 Nov 2025 06:00	185	48.3 million	13.4 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos
10	03 Nov 2025 12:00	176	43.1 million	10.6 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand
11	03 Nov 2025 18:00	185	42.1 million	8.8 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
12	04 Nov 2025 00:00	185	44.4 million	12.3 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia
13	04 Nov 2025 06:00	176	43.1 million	11.6 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos
14	04 Nov 2025 12:00	157	41.1 million	11.8 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand
15	04 Nov 2025 18:00	176	40.3 million	12.7 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand
16	05 Nov 2025 00:00	176	42.7 million	13.7 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand
17	05 Nov 2025 06:00	176	43.8 million	11.4 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos
18	05 Nov 2025 12:00	157	37.4 million	10.5 million	Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos
19	05 Nov 2025 18:00	204	37.6 million	10.4 million	Philippines, Viet Nam
20	06 Nov 2025 00:00	213	37.6 million	12.9 million	Viet Nam, Philippines, Cambodia, Laos
21	06 Nov 2025 06:00	204	41.5 million	12.7 million	Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines
22	06 Nov 2025 12:00	185	44.3 million	14.1 million	Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	01 Nov 2025 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	9.8, 138.1
2	01 Nov 2025 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.2, 137.2
3	01 Nov 2025 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	10.6, 136.4
4	02 Nov 2025 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10.8, 135.1
5	02 Nov 2025 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	11.3, 133.3
6	02 Nov 2025 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	11.3, 131.8
7	02 Nov 2025 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	120000 people	11, 130.1
8	03 Nov 2025 00:00	Category 1	130	<1000 people	2.7 million people	10.5, 128.9
9	03 Nov 2025 06:00	Category 1	148	1 million people	16 million people	10.4, 127.7
10	03 Nov 2025 12:00	Category 2	167	3.4 million people	25.6 million people	10.6, 126.3
11	03 Nov 2025 18:00	Category 1	148	5.7 million people	26 million people	11.1, 124.4	Philippines
12	04 Nov 2025 00:00	Category 1	130	5.8 million people	20 million people	10.6, 123.2	Philippines
13	04 Nov 2025 06:00	Category 1	130	460000 people	10.1 million people	10.4, 121.8	Philippines
14	04 Nov 2025 12:00	Category 1	130	290000 people	2.1 million people	10.6, 120.8
15	04 Nov 2025 18:00	Category 1	130	300000 people	1 million people	10.9, 119.9
16	05 Nov 2025 00:00	Category 1	139	85000 people	1 million people	11.4, 119.1
17	05 Nov 2025 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	12.1, 117.1
18	05 Nov 2025 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	12.5, 115.9
19	05 Nov 2025 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	<1000 people	13.2, 114.3
20	06 Nov 2025 00:00	Category 4	213	1.8 million people	8.8 million people	13.2, 112.1
21	06 Nov 2025 06:00	Category 3	204	3 million people	11.1 million people	13.3, 110.6
22	06 Nov 2025 12:00	Category 3	185	4.3 million people	13.1 million people	13.6, 109.1	Viet Nam
22	07 Nov 2025 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	4.1 million people	14.7, 106.4	Laos, Cambodia
22	07 Nov 2025 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	15.7, 104.2	Thailand

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Category 1 or higher strength
4.1 million people
21000 people
150000 people
7.9 million people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Category 1 or higher strength
1.2 million people
810000 people
1.7 million people
4600 people
<1000 people
400000 people
20000 people
140000 people
1100 people
16000 people
200000 people
4.3 million people
1.3 million people
2.1 million people
16000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.