Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for PHAILIN-13
in India
11 Oct 2013 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone PHAILIN-13 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries India
      Exposed population 5.2 million in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (12 Oct 16:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability High (India)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 259 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5
      Overall 269 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

      TOP

      Wind

        259 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 7.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Red 3 09 Oct 2013 12:00 138 No people 4.9 million India
          Red 4 09 Oct 2013 18:00 148 No people 2 million India
          Red 5 10 Oct 2013 00:00 158 No people 4 million India
          Red 6 10 Oct 2013 06:00 175 No people 5.8 million India
          Red 7 10 Oct 2013 12:00 249 No people 8 million India
          Red 8 10 Oct 2013 18:00 249 No people 7.7 million India
          Red 9 11 Oct 2013 00:00 269 No people 6.2 million India
          Red 10 11 Oct 2013 06:00 259 No people 7.7 million India

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 10/8/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people 84000 people 13.2, 93.4 India
            green
            		 2 10/9/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people 84000 people 13.4, 92.8 India
            green
            		 3 10/9/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people 24000 people 13.7, 92.2 India
            green
            		 4 10/9/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.1, 91.6
            green
            		 5 10/10/2013 Tropical storm 101 no people no people 14.4, 91.3
            green
            		 6 10/10/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 no people no people 14.9, 91
            green
            		 7 10/10/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 3 185 no people no people 15.4, 90.3
            green
            		 8 10/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 4 232 no people no people 15.6, 89.4
            green
            		 9 10/11/2013 Category 4 249 no people no people 15.8, 88.8
            green
            		 10 10/11/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 4 249 no people no people 16.1, 88.4
            green
            		 10 10/11/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 5 259 no people 5.8 million people 16.9, 87.1 India
            red
            		 10 10/12/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 5 259 3.3 million people 16.4 million people 18.2, 85.7 India
            red
            		 10 10/12/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 3 204 4.2 million people 20.1 million people 19.5, 84.4 India
            red
            		 10 10/13/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 138 3.2 million people 13.7 million people 21, 83.5 India
            green
            		 10 10/14/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.9, 82.5 India
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            India Andhra Pradesh
            India Madhya Pradesh
            India Orissa

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Chatrapur Orissa India City 21000 people
            Berhampur Orissa India City -
            Ichchapuram Andhra Pradesh India City 33000 people
            Mandasa Andhra Pradesh India City 9300 people
            Raigarh Chhattisgarh India City 120000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

            Airports

            Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
            Nuagaon 200

            Ports

            Name LOCODE Country
            Baruva India
            Gopalpore India
            TOP

            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

            TOP

            StormSurge

            1.1 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Gopalpur, India. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2013 16:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (87 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 12 Oct 2013 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Gopalpur India  1.1
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Chatrapur India  0.9
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Canjam India  0.8
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Paluru India  0.7
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Malud India  0.5
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Nuralrevu India  0.4
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Panasapada India  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Suppanu Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 02:00 Pyapon Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 02:00 Apaung Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Chaunggyi Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Budin Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Ase Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 06:00 Bideipur India  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 08:00 Rasalpur India  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 06:00 Chandipur India  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Puri India  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Alandaing Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Hseikma Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 12:00 Baruva India  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Balighai India  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Aunghlaing Myanmar  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 22:00 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 09:00 Nuliasahi India  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 23:00 Ama Myanmar  0.2
            09 Oct 2013 22:00 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 07:00 Hukitala India  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Ledaung Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Wagon Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Kongyi Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 07:00 Nuagan India  0.2
            12 Oct 2013 16:00 Konarak India  0.2
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Zigyaing Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Kywegyaung Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Kangyaing Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 07:00 Chaungtaungbe Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 07:00 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 07:00 Payahla Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Magyibin Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 07:00 Ywadegon Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 04:00 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 05:00 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
            12 Oct 2013 11:00 Bijavbati India  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Anin Myanmar  0.1
            12 Oct 2013 11:00 Ammalapadu India  0.1
            12 Oct 2013 08:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 00:00 Andin Myanmar  0.1
            10 Oct 2013 01:00 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1