Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for PHAILIN-13 in India on 09 Oct 2013 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for PHAILIN-13

in India

09 Oct 2013 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PHAILIN-13 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	5.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (12 Oct 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	148 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	269 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	3	09 Oct 2013 12:00	138	No people	4.9 million	India
	4	09 Oct 2013 18:00	148	No people	2 million	India

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10/8/2013	Tropical storm	64	no people	84000 people	13.2, 93.4	India
2	10/9/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	84000 people	13.4, 92.8	India
3	10/9/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	24000 people	13.7, 92.2	India
4	10/9/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	14.1, 91.6
4	10/10/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	14.8, 90.3
4	10/10/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	15.5, 89
4	10/11/2013 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	16.2, 87.9
4	10/11/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	148	2 million people	17.2 million people	17.1, 86.7	India
4	10/12/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	26.8 million people	19.4, 84	India
4	10/13/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.9, 82.4	India
5	10/10/2013	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	14.4, 91.3

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
India	Andhra Pradesh
India	Orissa

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Ichchapuram	Andhra Pradesh	India	City	33000 people
Mandasa	Andhra Pradesh	India	City	9300 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Baruva		India

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.1m in Gopalpur, India. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2013 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (87 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 12 Oct 2013 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Gopalpur	India	1.1
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Chatrapur	India	0.9
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Canjam	India	0.8
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Paluru	India	0.7
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Malud	India	0.5
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Nuralrevu	India	0.4
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Panasapada	India	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Tawgyaik	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Ale-ywa	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Suppanu	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 02:00	Pyapon	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 02:00	Apaung	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Chaunggyi	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Damathat	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.3
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.3
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Donwun	Myanmar	0.3
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Akechaungwa	Myanmar	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Budin	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Ase	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 06:00	Bideipur	India	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 08:00	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 06:00	Chandipur	India	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Puri	India	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Alandaing	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Hseikma	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Khindan	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Munaing	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Darein	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Dawnvein	Myanmar	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 12:00	Baruva	India	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Balighai	India	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Aunghlaing	Myanmar	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 22:00	Yegyawgyi	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Kyauktazi	Myanmar	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 09:00	Nuliasahi	India	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 23:00	Ama	Myanmar	0.2
	09 Oct 2013 22:00	Seikkyi	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kwanhla	Myanmar	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 07:00	Hukitala	India	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Ledaung	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Magyigyaing	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Pyinkayaing	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Wagon	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Chaunggwa	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Kongyi	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kyaikkami	Myanmar	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Wagaru	Myanmar	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 07:00	Nuagan	India	0.2
	12 Oct 2013 16:00	Konarak	India	0.2
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Zigyaing	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Kywegyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Kangyaing	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 07:00	Chaungtaungbe	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 07:00	Zibyugyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 07:00	Payahla	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Magyibin	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Okkan	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Kayindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 07:00	Ywadegon	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 04:00	Saluzeik	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Thetkethaung	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 05:00	Thingangyi	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Wegalaung	Myanmar	0.1
	12 Oct 2013 11:00	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Karokpi	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Anin	Myanmar	0.1
	12 Oct 2013 11:00	Ammalapadu	India	0.1
	12 Oct 2013 08:00	Satabhaya	India	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 00:00	Andin	Myanmar	0.1
	10 Oct 2013 01:00	Thinbawzeik	Myanmar	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.