Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LEKIMA-13 Off-shore from 20 Oct 2013 18:00 UTC to 21 Oct 2013 00:00 UTC

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Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	269 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	20 Oct 2013 12:00	195	No people	No people
2	20 Oct 2013 18:00	195	No people	No people
3	21 Oct 2013 00:00	204	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	10/20/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	10.3, 160.6
2	10/20/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.8, 160.8
3	10/21/2013	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	11.6, 160.9
3	10/21/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.8, 159.7
3	10/22/2013	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.5, 158.1
3	10/22/2013 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	16.3, 155.6
3	10/23/2013	Category 2	158	no people	no people	17.7, 153
3	10/24/2013	Category 3	195	no people	no people	19.9, 147.9
3	10/25/2013	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.5, 144.6
3	10/26/2013	Category 3	185	no people	no people	31.4, 146.7

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 26 Oct 2013 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)