Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THIRTEEN-21
in Cocos (Keeling) Islands
28 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone THIRTEEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Cocos (Keeling) Islands
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Jan 06:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Cocos Is.)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 65 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 21 Jan 2021 00:00 102 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 2 21 Jan 2021 12:00 93 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 3 22 Jan 2021 00:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 4 22 Jan 2021 12:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 5 23 Jan 2021 00:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 6 23 Jan 2021 12:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 7 24 Jan 2021 00:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 8 24 Jan 2021 12:00 74 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 9 25 Jan 2021 00:00 93 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 10 25 Jan 2021 12:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 11 26 Jan 2021 00:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 12 26 Jan 2021 12:00 83 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 13 27 Jan 2021 00:00 93 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 14 27 Jan 2021 12:00 93 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands
        Green 15 28 Jan 2021 00:00 46 Few people No people Cocos (Keeling) Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -12.4, 97.2
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -12.8, 97.3
          GREEN
          		 3 22 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -13.3, 97.5
          GREEN
          		 4 22 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -13.3, 97.3
          GREEN
          		 5 23 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -14.1, 97.2
          GREEN
          		 6 23 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.1, 97.6
          GREEN
          		 7 24 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16, 97.6
          GREEN
          		 8 24 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.1, 96.2
          GREEN
          		 9 25 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.5, 95.7
          GREEN
          		 10 25 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.6, 95.4
          GREEN
          		 11 26 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.3, 94.6
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -19.2, 93.9
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -19.5, 91.8
          GREEN
          		 14 27 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -19.4, 90.3
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -18.9, 87.4
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -18.5, 83.7
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Cocos Is.

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Cocos Is. Cocos (Keeling) Islands

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands Capital <1000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Cocos Is CCK 3 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tipar, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 21 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (33 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 27 Jan 2021 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Domas Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Merak Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 Nasik Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 Tandjungpandan Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 Tandjungbinga Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 Suakgual Indonesia  0.2
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 Petaling Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 02:00 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 06:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 03:00 Radjik Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 13:00 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 01:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 17:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 07:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 14:00 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
          21 Jan 2021 04:00 Batubetumpang Indonesia  0.1