Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 15 Jul 2022 15:00 157 No people No people
Green 2 15 Jul 2022 21:00 157 No people No people Mexico
Green 3 16 Jul 2022 03:00 157 No people No people Mexico
Green 4 16 Jul 2022 09:00 167 No people No people Mexico
Green 5 16 Jul 2022 15:00 185 No people No people Mexico
Green 6 16 Jul 2022 21:00 185 No people No people
Green 7 17 Jul 2022 03:00 185 No people No people
Green 8 17 Jul 2022 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 9 17 Jul 2022 15:00 185 No people No people Mexico
Green 10 17 Jul 2022 21:00 176 No people No people Mexico
Green 11 18 Jul 2022 03:00 157 No people No people Mexico
Green 12 18 Jul 2022 09:00 139 No people No people Mexico
Green 13 18 Jul 2022 15:00 139 No people No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12, -100.8
GREEN
2 15 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13, -100.9
GREEN
3 16 Jul 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.2, -102
GREEN
4 16 Jul 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -103.1
GREEN
5 16 Jul 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14, -103.7
GREEN
6 16 Jul 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.2, -104.4
GREEN
7 17 Jul 2022 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.7, -105
GREEN
8 17 Jul 2022 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 15.1, -105.9
GREEN
9 17 Jul 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.7, -107.1
GREEN
10 17 Jul 2022 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 16.1, -107.9
GREEN
11 18 Jul 2022 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, -108.6
GREEN
12 18 Jul 2022 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 17.5, -109.8
GREEN
13 18 Jul 2022 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 18, -111.1
GREEN
13 19 Jul 2022 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.3, -112.9
GREEN
13 19 Jul 2022 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.8, -115.2
GREEN
13 20 Jul 2022 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 19.4, -117.5
GREEN
13 20 Jul 2022 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 20.3, -119.8
GREEN
13 21 Jul 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 21.2, -122
GREEN
13 21 Jul 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.1, -123.9
GREEN
13 22 Jul 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.2, -127.3
GREEN
13 23 Jul 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 23.5, -130.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 18 Jul 2022 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)