Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIYAN-13
in China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIYAN-13 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
Exposed population 13.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.3 m (08 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 167 km/h 2.5 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 315 km/h 2.3 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 22.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 03 Nov 2013 06:00 222 No people No people Philippines, Palau
Red 2 03 Nov 2013 12:00 222 No people 2.8 million Philippines
Red 3 03 Nov 2013 18:00 222 No people 7.1 million Philippines
Red 4 04 Nov 2013 00:00 232 No people 6.4 million Philippines
Red 5 04 Nov 2013 06:00 222 No people 6.3 million Philippines
Red 6 04 Nov 2013 12:00 222 No people 6 million Philippines
Red 7 04 Nov 2013 18:00 241 No people 5.3 million Philippines
Red 8 05 Nov 2013 00:00 241 No people 6.7 million Philippines
Red 9 05 Nov 2013 06:00 232 No people 6.7 million Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 10 05 Nov 2013 12:00 241 No people 5.8 million Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 11 05 Nov 2013 18:00 259 No people 9 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 12 06 Nov 2013 00:00 269 No people 8.5 million Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 13 06 Nov 2013 06:00 269 No people 10 million Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 14 06 Nov 2013 12:00 269 No people 12.6 million Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
Red 15 06 Nov 2013 18:00 278 No people 12.9 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines, Palau
Red 16 07 Nov 2013 00:00 278 No people 14.2 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 18 07 Nov 2013 12:00 306 No people 15.3 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 19 07 Nov 2013 18:00 315 No people 17 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 20 08 Nov 2013 00:00 296 No people 17.8 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 21 08 Nov 2013 06:00 269 No people 19.8 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Green 22 08 Nov 2013 12:00 249 No people 21 million Laos, Viet Nam, Philippines
Red 23 08 Nov 2013 18:00 241 No people 17.9 million Laos, Viet Nam
Red 24 09 Nov 2013 00:00 222 No people 17.4 million Laos, Viet Nam
Red 25 09 Nov 2013 06:00 195 No people 12.6 million Viet Nam
Red 26 09 Nov 2013 12:00 185 No people 13.6 million Viet Nam
Red 27 09 Nov 2013 18:00 167 No people 22.2 million Viet Nam

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 11/3/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 6.4, 156
green
2 11/3/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 6.4, 154.3
green
3 11/3/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 6.4, 152.7
green
4 11/4/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people 6, 151.6
green
4 11/4/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people 6, 151.6
green
5 11/4/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 6, 150.2
green
6 11/4/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 6.1, 148.3
green
7 11/4/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 6.5, 147.3
green
8 11/5/2013 Category 1 121 no people no people 6.4, 145.9
green
9 11/5/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 121 no people no people 6.4, 144.5
green
10 11/5/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 2 167 no people no people 6.8, 143
green
11 11/5/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 3 195 no people no people 7.1, 141.2
green
12 11/6/2013 Category 4 241 no people no people 7.4, 139.6
green
13 11/6/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 4 249 27000 people no people 7.6, 138 Palau
red
14 11/6/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 5 259 20000 people 3400 people 7.9, 136.2 Palau
red
15 11/6/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 5 278 20000 people 2700 people 8.2, 134.4 Palau
green
16 11/7/2013 Category 5 278 2400 people no people 8.6, 132.8 Palau
red
18 11/7/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 5 306 2.6 million people 2.1 million people 10.2, 129.1 Philippines
red
19 11/7/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 5 315 17 million people 3.3 million people 10.6, 127 Philippines
red
20 11/8/2013 Category 5 296 23.9 million people 10.9 million people 11, 124.8 Philippines
red
21 11/8/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 5 269 20 million people 5.6 million people 11.4, 122.6 Philippines
red
22 11/8/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 4 249 5.6 million people 260000 people 11.8, 120.6 Philippines
green
23 11/8/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 4 232 110000 people no people 12.4, 118.1 Philippines
green
24 11/9/2013 Category 4 212 no people no people 12.3, 116.2
green
25 11/9/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 3 195 no people no people 13.5, 114.8
green
26 11/9/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 3 185 4.4 million people no people 14.5, 113.2 China, Viet Nam
green
27 11/9/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 2 167 9.3 million people no people 15.5, 111.4 China, Laos, Viet Nam
green
27 11/10/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 2 158 38.4 million people no people 17.6, 108.3 China, Laos, Viet Nam
red
27 11/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 1 130 37 million people 10.2 million people 19.6, 106.4 Viet Nam
orange
27 11/11/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 31.4 million people no people 21.4, 106.2 Viet Nam, China
green
27 11/11/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.8, 106.9 Viet Nam, China
green
27 11/12/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 24, 108.4 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Viet Nam Quang Ninh 910000 people
Viet Nam Bac Thai 1.1 million people
Viet Nam Lang Son 680000 people
Viet Nam Thanh Hoa 3.3 million people
Viet Nam Hai Hung 2.7 million people
Viet Nam Ha Noi 2.1 million people
Viet Nam Ninh Binh 850000 people
Viet Nam Nam Ha 2.6 million people
Viet Nam Ha Bac 2.3 million people
Viet Nam Hai Phong 1.6 million people
Viet Nam Thai Binh 1.8 million people
Philippines Central Visayas 4.5 million people
Philippines Western Visayas 5.3 million people
Philippines Bicol 3.9 million people
Philippines Southern Tagalog 8.2 million people
Philippines Eastern Visayas 3 million people
Philippines Northern Mindanao 3.5 million people
Palau Palau 16000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Melekeok Palau Capital <1000 people
Kalibo Western Visayas Philippines City 56000 people
Roxas Western Visayas Philippines City 100000 people
Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 17000 people
Bogo Central Visayas Philippines City 23000 people
Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 90000 people
Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
Cadiz Western Visayas Philippines City 120000 people
Fabrica Western Visayas Philippines City -
Silay Western Visayas Philippines City 82000 people
San Jose Western Visayas Philippines City 22000 people
Talisay Western Visayas Philippines City 76000 people
Iloilo Iloilo City Philippines City 380000 people
Danao Danao City Philippines City 69000 people
Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 180000 people
Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people
Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 9900 people
Hai Duong Hai Duong Vietnam City 57000 people
Thái Bình Thai Binh Vietnam City 52000 people
Nam Dinh Nam Dimh Vietnam City 190000 people
Thuan Nghiep Thai Binh Vietnam City -
Bacolod Western Visayas Philippines City 440000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
San Jose SJI 3 Civ. Paved No 6000
Romblon TBH 3 Civ. Paved No 3900
Kalib0 KLO 6 Civ. Paved No 6000
Roxas RXS 3 Civ. Paved No 6200
Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
Iloilo ILO 7 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
Bacolod BCD 9 Civ. Paved Yes 6400
Mactan-Cebu International NOP 11 Civ. Paved Yes 10800
Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
Kep 12
Lahug 29
Philphos 5
Antique 7 Civ. Paved No 3400
Maasin 100
Borongan 2
Culion CUJ unknown
Sicogon Island ICO unknown
Caticlan Malay MPH unknown
Busuanga USU 45 Civ. Paved No 3900
Coron XCN unknown
Biliran Natl 89
Catbalogan 15

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Bacolod PHBCD Philippines
Borongan PHBGV Philippines
Cartagena / Iloilo PHCRT Philippines
Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
Culion PHCUJ Philippines
Isabel PHISL Philippines
Pulupandan PHPUL Philippines
San Jose de Buenavista PHSJI Philippines
Sangi PHSNG Philippines
Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
Sangi PHTLD Philippines
Caminawit Philippines
Gen Macarthur Philippines
Guiuan Philippines
Talalora Philippines
Leyte Philippines
Lagome Philippines
Liloan Philippines
Sogod Philippines
Malitbog Philippines
Baybay Philippines
Pilar Philippines
Ormoc Philippines
Merida Philippines
Palompon Philippines
Villaba Philippines
Arevalo Philippines
Calubian Philippines
Bogo Philippines
Borbon Philippines
Sogod Bay Philippines
Carmen Philippines
Tuburan Philippines
Santa Fe Philippines
Cadiz Philippines
Carlos Philippines
Silay Philippines
Port Capiz Philippines
Pandan Philippines
Coron Philippines
Basuanga Philippines
Port Bello Philippines
San Isidro Philippines
Mandaue Philippines
Tanauan Philippines
Semirara Island Philippines
Triton Island China

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.3m in Tacloban, Philippines. This height is estimated for 08 Nov 2013 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (839 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 31 of 10 Nov 2013 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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