Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MAX-17 in Mexico from 13 Sep 2017 15:00 UTC to 15 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAX-17

in Mexico

14 Sep 2017 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAX-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	89 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (14 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	89 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	100 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

100 km/h

Up to 570 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	573,087

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	14 Sep 2017 00:00	89	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	14 Sep 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2017 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2017 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Sep 2017 04:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 04:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 04:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 13:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 19:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 13:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 06:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 06:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 03:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 03:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 03:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 03:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2017 03:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 04:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 04:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 18:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 11:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 11:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 19:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:15	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 23:45	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	15 Sep 2017 23:45	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 03:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2017 02:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.