Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CARLOTTA-18
in Mexico
15 Jun 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CARLOTTA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Jun 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 56 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

56 km/h

Up to 460 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico461,679 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jun 2018 18:00 63 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Jun 2018 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jun 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Jun 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Santa Cruz, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jun 2018 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2018 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jun 2018 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
15 Jun 2018 03:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
15 Jun 2018 03:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
15 Jun 2018 13:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 13:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 05:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 06:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 02:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 02:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 00:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 13:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 14:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 14:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 07:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 08:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 08:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 00:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 04:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 13:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 13:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 13:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 09:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 04:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 04:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 00:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:45 El Tular Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:45 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 16:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 13:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 07:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 03:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 03:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 08:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2018 11:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1