Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for COSME-19 Off-shore from 06 Jul 2019 15:00 UTC to 08 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for COSME-19

Off-shore

07 Jul 2019 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone COSME-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (07 Jul 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	76 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	1.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	06 Jul 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Jul 2019 18:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Jul 2019 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Jul 2019 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	06 Jul 2019 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Jul 2019 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Jul 2019 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Jul 2019 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.2m in Marmol, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2019 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Jul 2019 06:45	Marmol	Mexico	1.2
	07 Jul 2019 06:45	Florida	Mexico	1.2
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Novillero	Mexico	1.2
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Cuantla	Mexico	1.2
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	1.1
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	1.1
	07 Jul 2019 07:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	1.1
	07 Jul 2019 06:45	Barron	Mexico	1.0
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	La Palmita	Mexico	1.0
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	Caimanero	Mexico	1.0
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.9
	07 Jul 2019 07:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.9
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.9
	07 Jul 2019 07:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.9
	07 Jul 2019 08:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.7
	07 Jul 2019 08:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.7
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.7
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 18:00	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 18:00	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.6
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.5
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.5
	07 Jul 2019 15:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 15:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 15:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.4
	09 Jul 2019 01:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 07:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.4
	08 Jul 2019 01:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 11:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 06:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 06:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.4
	08 Jul 2019 10:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.4
	08 Jul 2019 01:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 13:00	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 13:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 10:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 07:15	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.4
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Altata	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 10:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 06:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 09:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 09:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 14:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 18:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 02:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 02:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 10:00	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	09 Jul 2019 01:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 09:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 16:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 01:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 22:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 22:30	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 22:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 01:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	09 Jul 2019 11:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:30	Chola	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 22:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 22:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 19:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 19:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 13:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 13:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 13:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 12:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 12:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 04:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 01:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 01:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 07:15	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.3
	08 Jul 2019 01:45	El Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 07:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	07 Jul 2019 12:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 10:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 08:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 08:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 08:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 08:15	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 21:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 10:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 16:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 22:45	Estrecho	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 09:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 09:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 18:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 18:15	Pizota	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 08:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 17:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 17:00	El Real	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 17:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:15	Apisa	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.2
	08 Jul 2019 09:15	San Telmo	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 11:30	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 08:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 23:30	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 20:30	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.2
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	07 Jul 2019 11:45	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Jul 2019 01:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	07 Jul 2019 12:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.