Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NEOGURI-19 in Japan, Russian Federation, from 16 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NEOGURI-19

in Japan, Russian Federation,

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	68 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (16 Oct 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	68 km/h	0.5 m	108 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	205 km/h	0.6 m	914 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Philippines	3,095

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	16 Oct 2019 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	16 Oct 2019 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Philippines	5,920
100-250 mm	Philippines	332,486
50-100 mm	Philippines	956,718

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	16 Oct 2019 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	16 Oct 2019 18:00	473	340 thousand				-	-	-	Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Lingayen, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2019 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Lingayen	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Labangan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Bugallon	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Baloboc	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Maniboc	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Binmale	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Carael	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Dagupan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Bateng	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Alacan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Agoo	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Panasgasan	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Nabaul	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Capantolan	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Mangas	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Caba	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Aringay	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Hsin-chiang	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Hsia-lun	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Sa-ti	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Wu-nan	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Hai-kou	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Chung-ch'i	Taiwan	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Tondol	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	San-hsing	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	T'ai-hsi	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Linao	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Bisagu	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Aparri	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Alilinu	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Punta	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Balza	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Buguey	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	San Cornelio	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Sha-shan	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Wang-kung	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Lu-kang	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Bauang	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Baccuit	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Palintocang	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Abulug	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Catuguran	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Talaga	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Tagontong	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Tandoc	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Perez	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Cavilla	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Alabat	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Mascarina	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Apad	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	San Fernando	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	San Jose	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	San Vicente	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Argosino	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Talingting	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Yung-lung	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Chiang-chun	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Fu-hsing	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Pu-tai	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Chang-t'an	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Luna	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Agdeppa	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Santa Cruz	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Tagudin	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Dili	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Bitalag	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Pinipin	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Ching-shui	Taiwan	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Hai huang	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Cabaritan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Mauban	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Tammocalao	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Bacnotan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Candon	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Paracale	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Vinzons	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Banacboc	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Daet	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Candon Pt	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Matanobong	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Calamias	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:00	Alayao	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:00	Jose Panganiban	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Tangaoan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Santa Maria	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Narvacan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Fuarte	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Yuan-li	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Tung-hsiao	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Pangas	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Binauangan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Mactang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Capalonga	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Vigan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Basiing	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Caluekan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Calay-ab	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Magsingal	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Guisit	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Ch'i-ting	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Patro	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Cabugao	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Bisliang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Cabungalunan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Binacud	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Battog	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Tongho-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Yongpo-ri	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Songhung-ni	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Chakto-dong	Democratic People's Republic of Korea	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Lobit	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Badoc	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Paoay	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Calayab	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Nang-guyudan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Bawa	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Cabiraoan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Real	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Infanta	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Casambalangan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	San Vincente	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Changchun	China	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Wuqu	China	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Yacheng	China	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Sansha	China	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Talinaan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	An-ping	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	San-ku-ts'un	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Chung-ho	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Hai-pu	Taiwan	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Da'ao	China	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Luxia	China	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Chu-nan	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 23:45	Ch'ien-tzu-chiao	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Labayat	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	San Benigno	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Talatal	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Pasuquin	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Yung-an-ts'un	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Panukulan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Budbudac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	K'o-tzu-liao	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Binibitinan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Bojeador C	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Buraan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Ngalan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Libjo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:45	Jomalig	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Payac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Bangui	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Kuei-shan	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Kilkiling	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Claveria	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Batitgao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Namuac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Bangan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Tangatong	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Aggao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Portugal	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Fukaya	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Sunagamori	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Shiogama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Origasa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Mukawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Sabishiro	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Yokawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Omisawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Momoishi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Mikawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Futakawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Shiribiki	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Hitokawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Kawaguchi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Ichikawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Takadate	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Hashimukai	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Hararo	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Hachinohe	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Tanesashi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:30	Shirahama	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kuan-yin	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Visita	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Poso	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Sorongan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Kinasakitan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Banoa	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Kao-hsiung	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Hung-nan-li	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Magdalo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Kaniwalan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Debutunan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Debutunan Pt	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Banua	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Nagsidel	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Rarasi	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Dadao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Buenavista	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Baler	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Taccuen	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Niida	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Machibatake	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Mimigahoe	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Okuki	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Kanahama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Uwano	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Okkoshi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Denkiani	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Kadonohama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Kawajiri	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Kawasiri	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Okubo	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 19:45	Taneichi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Cadagatan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Minabul	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Casiguran B	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Dinipan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Pasaruboy	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Divilican	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Jinxiang	China	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Huang-ch'i	China	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Shacheng	China	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Xiaguan	China	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Pucheng	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Cabog	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Dingalan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Tung-chiang	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	T'ien-ch'ien-ts'o	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Shui-ti-liao	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Chia-ho-ts'un	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Fang-shan	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Feng-chiang	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Ta-lin-pu	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:15	Lapusan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Liu-chiu Hsu	Taiwan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Chung-fu	Taiwan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Chiang-tzu-p'ing	Taiwan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Tan-shui	Taiwan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	San-chih	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Tarigtig Pt	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:30	Diniyog	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	San Dionisio	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Yagi	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Uge	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kudschi	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Minato	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kita-Samuraihama	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Honnami	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Nei	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Shiromae	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kuji	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Noda	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Ojiri	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Minami-Samuraihama	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kuki	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Kosode	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Noda-Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 00:00	Horinai	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	Hou-ta-ts'o	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:30	I-jen	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:45	Dinapigui	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.