Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAKRI-19
in Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos, Thailand

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAKRI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Nov 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.4 m 242 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 126 km/h 0.4 m 1055 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines1470 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPhilippines444 
250-500 mmPhilippines1098708 
100-250 mmPhilippines5912560 
50-100 mmBurma, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam43232791
+
Burma1382201 
Philippines28999075 
Thailand3159165 
Cambodia266605 
Vietnam9425745 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 Few people
- - - - Philippines
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 00:00 1128 7 million
- - Burma, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Manlalec, Philippines. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Manlalec Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Oton Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Palalong Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Sibaltan Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Maytiguid Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Batas Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Casian Philippines  0.4
06 Nov 2019 03:15 Da Nang Vietnam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 03:15 Xom Da Me Vietnam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 03:15 Hoi An Vietnam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Kin-hon Vietnam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Vinh Hoi Vietnam  0.3
06 Nov 2019 01:45 An Lac Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Dien Truong Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Tam Quan Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Kiwit Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Decalachao Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 San Nicolas Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Buenavista Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Borac Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:00 An Thach Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Van Ninh Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Dong Hai Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Bai Tre Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Ninh Ma Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Dam Mon Ha Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Ba Don Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Tho Ngoa Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Ly Nhon Thon Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Caruray Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Barton Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Rizal Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Inandeng Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Malcampo Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Dipnay Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Taytay Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Palarican Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 San Jose Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Calauag Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Bantulan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Alimanguan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 San Miguel Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Calmung Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Pagauanen Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Liminancong Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Bebeladan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 El Nido Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Camago Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Ninh Hoa Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Ninh Phuoc Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 An Cu Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Ap Quan Nam Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Mui Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Gulang-gulang Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Barotuan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Pandan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Calibangbangan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Nha Trang Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Cat Lo Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Looc Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Bocboc Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Batang Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Damipac Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Ugnisan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Bonongan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Salvacion Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Bogtong Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Carigmalan Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Culion Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Kiem Long Vietnam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Pancol Philippines  0.2
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Molpok Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Lingayen Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Labangan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Damaloguen Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Bugallon Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Baloboc Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Binmale Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Carael Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Bateng Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Alacan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:00 Vinh Son Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Yandun China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Huiwen China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Chen Lan China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Chung-yuan China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Boao China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Baheli Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Tapul Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Nanad Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Maruyogon Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Babuyan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Sabang Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Marofinas Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Capantolan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Mangas Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Binaluan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Alaminos Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Lucap Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Culasian Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Danleg Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Dumaran Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Busuanga Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Pamaoran Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Anda Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Dolaoan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Tondol Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Quezon Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Calauit Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Apurauan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Bobosawen Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Totobach Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:00 Anepahan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Iwahig Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Malamig Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Irahuan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Agoo Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Qinglan China  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:15 Chanh Giao Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:45 Ap Thien Ai Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:45 Hoa Da Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:45 Ap Hoi Tam Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Linapacan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:15 Ke Ga Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:15 Binh Sum Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:15 Phan Thiet Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:15 Karen India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Lucero Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:15 Pilar Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Dong Hoi Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 San Pedro Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Maroyogroyog Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Guadalupe Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Polillo Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Abucay Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Calatagan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Binubusan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Bucal Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Navotas Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Canda Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Balayan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Dao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Calaca Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Calawang Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Bagalangit Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Tuyet iem Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Thanh Thuy Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 An Hai Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Taal Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Mabini Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Bauan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:15 Bataguanan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:15 Bulalacao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Capayas Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Santa Teresita Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Bacao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Madoldolon Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Banglen Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Taloto Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Bohol Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Linao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Aparri Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Punta Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Balza Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Buguey Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Caba Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Aringay Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:00 Ky Tan Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:00 Duc Pho Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Tuy Hoa Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Hameau Mo Vietnam  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Maricaban Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Gamao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Tupa Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Bolinao Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Zaragoza Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Dalayauan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Silanga Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Paet Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Rizal Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Daram Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Mualbual Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Bangon Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Igot Philippines  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Wright Philippines  0.1

Calculation folder at this link